Richest person on December 31, 2026?Elon Musk
Open$195Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 95% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES95¢
NO5¢
as of
What moved the odds?
18 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Despite his fortune declining by more than $600 billion, Elon Musk remains the world's richest person.
YESafp98%match92¢+3%
Elon Musk, already world's richest person, eyes $1 trillion fortune • •
YEScbseveningnews99%match92¢+3%
Forbes releases 2026 World’s Billionaires List, adding 390 newcomers. Elon Musk tops the list, followed by Alphabet CEO Larry Page at No. 2.
YESUkrainian Media98%match92¢+3%
Elon Musk more than doubled his fortune in a year to a record $839 billion, — Forbes Musk's fortune is now almost $600 billion more than that of the second richest person, Larry Page ($254.4 billion). A year ago, on March 10, 2025, Musk's fortune was estimated at only $342 billion. The main factors behind such rapid growth were: SpaceX and xAI Merger. In February 2026, a massive deal was struck, in which the aerospace company acquired the AI startup. The combined company was valued at $1.25 trillion, instantly adding more than $80 billion to Musk's net worth. SpaceX valuation skyrocketed. SpaceX's valuation skyrocketed from $400 billion to $800 billion by 2025, thanks to the success of the Starlink program and the progress of Starship. Tesla compensation package approval. In November 2025, shareholders and courts unblocked Musk's record compensation package at Tesla, consisting of stock options potentially worth hundreds of billions of dollars depending on the company's market capitalization.
YESBloomberg98%match91¢+4%
How to tax a trillionaire: A practical guide in the era of extreme wealth
YESBenzinga98%match91¢+4%
Beyond Rockefeller: Polymarket Traders Bet SpaceX IPO Will Make Elon Musk The Richest Human In History And First Trillionaire.
YESCNBC98%match91¢+4%
Elon Musk wants to be a trillionaire — here's how SpaceX may get him there
YESBenzinga99%match90¢+6%
[Replying to @stats_feed] @stats_feed > Elon Musk is on track to become the world's first trillionaire, potentially in 2026 or 2027.
YESBloomberg99%match90¢+6%
The online brawl between Elon Musk and Ryanair's Michael O'Leary rumbles on, with the world’s richest man again floating the idea of buying the airline
YESPolymarket99%match91¢+4%
BREAKING: Elon Musk now projected to be the world’s first trillionaire this year. 60% chance.
YESThe Spectator Index98%match90¢+6%
Elon Musk has an 85% chance of become the world's first trillionaire, followed by Larry Ellison on 6%, according to @Kalshi prediction market.
YESPolymarket99%match90¢+6%
BREAKING: Elon Musk projected to become the world's first trillionaire next year.
YESGlobe Eye News99%match90¢+6%
Elon Musk becomes the first person in history worth $700 billion.
YES*Walter Bloomberg98%match90¢+6%
TESLA CEO ELON MUSK BECAME THE FIRST PERSON EVER WORTH $700 BILLION - FORBES
YESunusual_whales98%match85¢+12%
BREAKING: Elon Musk is now worth over $600 billion, the first person ever, per Forbes.
YESBenzinga98%match86¢+10%
[Replying to @Kalshi] @Kalshi > BREAKING: 67% chance Elon Musk is the world’s first trillionaire
YESBenzinga99%match82¢+16%
[Replying to @Benzinga] Elon Musk is already the world’s richest person with an estimated $465 billion net worth. A potential SpaceX IPO in 2026 could push him dangerously close to becoming the first trillionaire. Reports suggest SpaceX is targeting a $1.5 trillion valuation and could raise more than… >
YESBloomberg98%match81¢+17%
The world's richest man has several routes to possibly becoming the world's first trillionaire
Where does the news lean?
19YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
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