Richest person on December 31, 2026?Elon Musk

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The market prices a 97% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES97¢
NO3¢

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What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESbild.de94%match97¢
Elon Musk's net worth in 2026: Why he became €374 billion richer
YESIranian Media95%match97¢
Elon Musk becomes a trillionaire again According to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, the wealth of Elon Musk, the richest person in the world, increased by $65 billion on Monday, October 5, reaching $1.04 trillion, due to the increase in the value of his shares in SpaceX and Tesla. isna.ir/xdXcgs @isna94
YESalarabiya_bn93%match97¢
The numbers confirm that 2026 looks set to be an exceptional year for the world's tech billionaires. The fortunes of nearly 100 tech billionaires, among the world's 500 richest people, have increased by a total of approximately $845 billion since the beginning of the year until September 30, marking the largest increase in their wealth during the first nine months of any year, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The same drivers that have been propelling global markets were behind this surge, primarily the artificial intelligence boom and record highs in tech stocks, especially in the United States. The total wealth of tech billionaires now stands at $4.6 trillion, equivalent to 36% of the index's total wealth, even though they represent only about one-fifth of its members. In stark contrast, billionaires who amassed their fortunes have lost Outside the technology sector, a total of $62 billion was added during that period, while Americans accounted for 94% of the index's net gains. Since September 10, the world's ten richest people have all been from the United States, the first time this has happened since Bloomberg began tracking billionaires' wealth in 2012. Elon Musk, the world's richest man, added $310 billion to his fortune this year through the end of September, representing nearly 40% of the total increase in the index. Musk briefly became the world's first trillionaire after his company SpaceX merged with his AI company xAI and went public in June. Nine of the world's ten richest people owe their fortunes to American technology companies. Michael Dell, founder of Dell Technologies, saw his wealth increase by 81% to reach $254 billion, as his company's data center sales boom Mark Zuckerberg added $23 billion to his net worth this year, after shares of Meta Platforms surged 27% in September, marking its best monthly performance in nearly four years, following the launch of its new AI-powered personal assistant, Muse. The combined wealth of the world's 500 richest people peaked at $13.4 trillion in mid-June. Since then, it has fallen 6% to $12.6 trillion amid a general market slowdown and growing uncertainty surrounding some of the biggest AI companies. #Arabic_Business
YESWalter Bloomberg91%match97¢
TECH BILLIONAIRES ADD RECORD $845 BILLION IN 2026 • • The world’s roughly 100 tech billionaires added a record $845 billion through September, driven by the AI boom and surging U.S. technology stocks. • • Their combined wealth reached $4.6 trillion, while billionaires outside tech lost $62 billion. • • Elon Musk alone gained $310 billion, accounting for roughly 40% of the overall increase in the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
YESRussian Media93%match97¢
Elon Musk has once again topped the Forbes list of the 400 richest Americans. According to the magazine, the entrepreneur's fortune has doubled over the past year and reached $908 billion. The top 10 also includes: Amazon founder Jeff Bezos ($378 billion); Google co-founder and member of the board of directors of Alphabet Larry Page ($278 billion); Dell founder and CEO Michael Dell ($263 billion); Google co-founder and member of the board of directors of Alphabet Sergey Brin ($256 billion); Meta founder and CEO (recognized as extremist and banned in Russia) Mark Zuckerberg ($212 billion); Oracle co-founder and chairman of the board of directors Larry Ellison ($204 billion); Nvidia co-founder and CEO Jensen Huang ($199 billion); Former Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer ($156 billion); Investor and former Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett ($144 billion). The total wealth of all list participants is estimated at a record $8 trillion, compared to $6.6 trillion last year. The list includes 34 new members, more than 10 of whom are entrepreneurs in the field of artificial intelligence. Julia Demaree Nikhinson / AP Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | on Telegram
YESRussian Media97%match96¢+1%
Only Americans remain in the top 10 richest people in the world, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. Elon Musk holds first place in the ranking by a wide margin - his fortune is estimated at $919 billion, having increased by $299 billion since the beginning of the year. Google co-founder Larry Page ($286 billion) and Amazon founder Jeff Bezos ($274 billion), who occupy second and third places, also significantly increased their fortunes this year - by $17 billion and $20.4 billion, respectively. The agency classified nine of the top 10 people in the "technology" category. Only one—Berkshire Hathaway investment fund founder Warren Buffett—is classified as a "diversified business," but a significant portion of his fortune is tied to investments in high-tech companies. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
YESalarabiya92%match96¢+1%
Despite his fortune declining by more than $600 billion, Elon Musk remains the world's richest person.
YESafp98%match92¢+5%
Elon Musk, already world's richest person, eyes $1 trillion fortune • •
YEScbseveningnews99%match92¢+5%
Forbes releases 2026 World’s Billionaires List, adding 390 newcomers. Elon Musk tops the list, followed by Alphabet CEO Larry Page at No. 2.
YESUkrainian Media98%match92¢+5%
Elon Musk more than doubled his fortune in a year to a record $839 billion, — Forbes Musk's fortune is now almost $600 billion more than that of the second richest person, Larry Page ($254.4 billion). A year ago, on March 10, 2025, Musk's fortune was estimated at only $342 billion. The main factors behind such rapid growth were: SpaceX and xAI Merger. In February 2026, a massive deal was struck, in which the aerospace company acquired the AI startup. The combined company was valued at $1.25 trillion, instantly adding more than $80 billion to Musk's net worth. SpaceX valuation skyrocketed. SpaceX's valuation skyrocketed from $400 billion to $800 billion by 2025, thanks to the success of the Starlink program and the progress of Starship. Tesla compensation package approval. In November 2025, shareholders and courts unblocked Musk's record compensation package at Tesla, consisting of stock options potentially worth hundreds of billions of dollars depending on the company's market capitalization.
YESBloomberg98%match91¢+7%
How to tax a trillionaire: A practical guide in the era of extreme wealth
YESBenzinga98%match91¢+7%
Beyond Rockefeller: Polymarket Traders Bet SpaceX IPO Will Make Elon Musk The Richest Human In History And First Trillionaire.
YESCNBC98%match91¢+7%
Elon Musk wants to be a trillionaire — here's how SpaceX may get him there
YESBenzinga99%match90¢+8%
[Replying to @stats_feed] @stats_feed > Elon Musk is on track to become the world's first trillionaire, potentially in 2026 or 2027.
YESBloomberg99%match90¢+8%
The online brawl between Elon Musk and Ryanair's Michael O'Leary rumbles on, with the world’s richest man again floating the idea of buying the airline
YESPolymarket99%match91¢+7%
BREAKING: Elon Musk now projected to be the world’s first trillionaire this year. 60% chance.
YESThe Spectator Index98%match90¢+8%
Elon Musk has an 85% chance of become the world's first trillionaire, followed by Larry Ellison on 6%, according to @Kalshi prediction market.
YESunusual_whales98%match85¢+14%
BREAKING: Elon Musk is now worth over $600 billion, the first person ever, per Forbes.
YESBenzinga99%match82¢+18%
[Replying to @Benzinga] Elon Musk is already the world’s richest person with an estimated $465 billion net worth. A potential SpaceX IPO in 2026 could push him dangerously close to becoming the first trillionaire. Reports suggest SpaceX is targeting a $1.5 trillion valuation and could raise more than… >
YESBloomberg98%match81¢+20%
The world's richest man has several routes to possibly becoming the world's first trillionaire

Where does the news lean?

27YES0NO4neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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