Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Waukesha County WinnerDavid Crowley
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$30Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
28 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Wisconsin gubernatorial primary winner David Crowley ties opponent to Trump
Live: David Crowley, the Democratic nominee for governor, arrived at a community center in Milwaukee to hugs and applause from supporters. He began by thanking his family, his staff, and his opponents, especially Francesca Hong. “Her campaign reminded people across Wisconsin that there are no long shots when it comes to believing in a better future and fighting to expand opportunity for every family,” he said.
David Crowley will speak at 9am CT in Milwaukee, urging Dems to unite against Tom Tiffany + Trump - and thanking Francesca Hong for fighting for people. • • He will then attend what is now a Dem unity brunch in the Madison area. Then tour stops and a rally in Milwaukee - his hometown - tonight with Sen. Baldwin and other Dems, as @politico has reported. • • His advisers are working to quickly coalesce the divided Dem electorate, with a focus on bringing in Hong and Roys voters.
Live: Democrats trying to make sense of David Crowley’s surprise victory pointed to a race that shifted dramatically in the last week. Francesca Hong seemed unpolished during national TV appearances; Gov. Tony Evers, still a popular figure in the party, was campaigning all over the state for Crowley; and many voters tuned in only in the race’s final days.
Live: David Crowley, the Democratic nominee for governor, is expected to speak in Milwaukee at 9 a.m., thanking supporters and giving a hint at the path ahead in the general election.
Live: Gov. Tony Evers, the Wisconsin Democrat whose endorsement helped David Crowley surge to victory in the governor’s primary, said Crowley had “earned this win.”
Live: Wisconsin Democratic Party throws support behind Dem gubernatorial primary winner David Crowley
Wisconsin Democrats choose David Crowley as nominee for governor over anti-Israel Hong
Live: David Crowley’s campaign has released a statement expressing thanks “to Wisconsin voters, the volunteers who powered this campaign, and everyone who stepped forward to participate in this primary.” Crowley’s campaign for governor turned its focus to the November general election against Representative Tom Tiffany, a Republican who represents the state’s seventh congressional district.
BREAKING: • • WASHINGTON (AP) — David Crowley wins Democratic nomination for governor in Wisconsin.
In setback for Democrats’ progressive wing, DSA-aligned Francesca Hong loses primary to David Crowley
David Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination
Live: David Crowley projected to win Democratic nod in Wisconsin governor’s race
Live updates: In upset, David Crowley defeats democratic socialist in Wisconsin governor’s primary
“Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley has won the Democratic primary in Wisconsin’s race for governor, NBC News projects, dealing a major upset to democratic socialist Francesca Hong.”
Live: David Crowley wins the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, NBC News projects
David Crowley narrowly defeats democratic socialist Francesca Hong in Wisconsin governor primary • • Crowley and Gov. Tony Evers had mounted a last-ditch effort to paint Hong as too extreme and, therefore, unelectable in a battleground state • • via @politico
Live: David Crowley will win Wisconsin’s Democratic gubernatorial primary, CNN projects
Wisconsin Democrats choose David Crowley as nominee for governor, US media says
YESReuters98%match98¢+2%
Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley Wins Democratic Nomination for Governor in Wisconsin - AP Projects
Live: David Crowley defeats democratic socialist Francesca Hong in Wisconsin governor primary
YESAPws97%match98¢+2%
WASHINGTON (AP) — David Crowley wins Democratic nomination for governor in Wisconsin
YESReuters97%match98¢+2%
Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley Wins Democratic Nomination for Governor in Wisconsin - NBC News Projects
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — David Crowley wins Democratic nomination for governor in Wisconsin
David Crowley defeats democratic socialist Francesca Hong in Wisconsin Democratic Governor Primary
Decision Desk HQ projects David Crowley wins the WI Governor Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 2:20 AM EDT
Live: A week after polls in Michigan greatly underestimated Representative Haley Stevens in the Democratic primary for Senate, a similar situation has played out in Wisconsin, where the polls appear to have significantly underestimated David Crowley, the moderate candidate in the Democratic primary for governor.
NEW - David Crowley's allies say he's doing much better statewide than they they thought he would - making the WI dem guv primary closer than expected against democratic socialist Francesca Hong in early results • • One key blow to Hong: Roys is currently holding her down in Dane - which should be Hong's stronghold • • Hong is performing well in some wealthier, white Milwaukee areas. But she’s under expectations in a lot of other places. Final MKE absentees could break for her though. • • Crowley, who went on a last-ditch barnstorming tour with Gov. Tony Evers to head off Hong as she consistently led in the polls, is also doing better than expected in the key WOW suburban counties outside Milwaukee. • • Crowley also notched “Bashar al-Assad numbers across the northside” of Milwaukee, said one Dem official. • • via @politico
Where does the news lean?
52YES0NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Waukesha County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Waukesha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Waukesha County.
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