Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary WinnerDavid Crowley

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$1.4MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

33 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESPolitico Reporter94%match100¢
David Crowley and Wes Moore spoke earlier today, per sources • • Moore promised to do whatever would be helpful in WI • • Crowley, if he's elected in Nov, would be the first Black governor of Wisconsin and just one of four Black governors directly elected in the US since Reconstruction - with Moore being the third.
YESapnews.com96%match100¢
Live: Wisconsin gubernatorial primary winner David Crowley ties opponent to Trump
YESfoxnews.com95%match100¢
Live: Wisconsin Gov Evers dubs David Crowley 'the future' of the Democratic Party
YESnytimes.com97%match100¢
Live: David Crowley, the Democratic nominee for governor, arrived at a community center in Milwaukee to hugs and applause from supporters. He began by thanking his family, his staff, and his opponents, especially Francesca Hong. “Her campaign reminded people across Wisconsin that there are no long shots when it comes to believing in a better future and fighting to expand opportunity for every family,” he said.
YESPolitico Reporter93%match100¢
David Crowley will speak at 9am CT in Milwaukee, urging Dems to unite against Tom Tiffany + Trump - and thanking Francesca Hong for fighting for people. • • He will then attend what is now a Dem unity brunch in the Madison area. Then tour stops and a rally in Milwaukee - his hometown - tonight with Sen. Baldwin and other Dems, as @politico has reported. • • His advisers are working to quickly coalesce the divided Dem electorate, with a focus on bringing in Hong and Roys voters.
YESnytimes.com97%match100¢
Live: David Crowley, the Democratic nominee for governor, is expected to speak in Milwaukee at 9 a.m., thanking supporters and giving a hint at the path ahead in the general election.
YESnytimes.com96%match100¢
Live: Gov. Tony Evers, the Wisconsin Democrat whose endorsement helped David Crowley surge to victory in the governor’s primary, said Crowley had “earned this win.”
YESfoxnews.com97%match100¢
Live: Wisconsin Democratic Party throws support behind Dem gubernatorial primary winner David Crowley
YEStimesofisrael.com93%match100¢
Wisconsin Democrats choose David Crowley as nominee for governor over anti-Israel Hong
YESnytimes.com97%match100¢
Live: David Crowley’s campaign has released a statement expressing thanks “to Wisconsin voters, the volunteers who powered this campaign, and everyone who stepped forward to participate in this primary.” Crowley’s campaign for governor turned its focus to the November general election against Representative Tom Tiffany, a Republican who represents the state’s seventh congressional district.
YESMS NOW Reporter97%match100¢
BREAKING: • • WASHINGTON (AP) — David Crowley wins Democratic nomination for governor in Wisconsin.
YESms.now97%match100¢
David Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination
YESms.now98%match100¢
Live: David Crowley projected to win Democratic nod in Wisconsin governor’s race
YESwashingtonpost.com97%match100¢
Live updates: In upset, David Crowley defeats democratic socialist in Wisconsin governor’s primary
YESNBC Reporter97%match100¢
“Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley has won the Democratic primary in Wisconsin’s race for governor, NBC News projects, dealing a major upset to democratic socialist Francesca Hong.”
YESnbcnews.com98%match100¢
Live: David Crowley wins the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor, NBC News projects
YEScnn.com98%match100¢
Live: David Crowley will win Wisconsin’s Democratic gubernatorial primary, CNN projects
YESdbws.io94%match100¢
Wisconsin Democrats choose David Crowley as nominee for governor, US media says
YESAPws97%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — David Crowley wins Democratic nomination for governor in Wisconsin
YESapnews.com97%match100¢
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — David Crowley wins Democratic nomination for governor in Wisconsin
YESnytimes.com94%match100¢
Live: Milwaukee’s absentee ballots have finally been reported, and they favor David Crowley by about 5 percentage points. He increased his lead somewhat, and Hong now trails Crowley by about 4,000 votes statewide as the count continues.
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match98¢+2%
Decision Desk HQ projects David Crowley wins the WI Governor Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 2:20 AM EDT
YESnytimes.com93%match77¢+30%
Live: In Wisconsin, all municipalities in Milwaukee County have now counted their absentee ballots, with the exception of the city of Milwaukee. The most recent release of around 4,500 votes from the county was favorable to David Crowley, increasing his slim statewide lead.
YESnytimes.com97%match53¢+89%
Live: A small crowd at David Crowley's party erupts in cheers as screens show the Milwaukee County executive holding a small lead over Francesca Hong, who was heavily favored in Wisconsin's Democratic primary for governor.
YESnytimes.com93%match67¢+49%
Live: Milwaukee, Wisconsin’s most populous county, has reported around three-quarters of its votes and David Crowley, who serves as county executive there, leads by three percentage points.
YESnytimes.com98%match55¢+82%
Live: With around 30 percent of the vote counted in Wisconsin, David Crowley is leading in most of the counties that have begun reporting. Francesca Hong has made up some ground with recent votes, but in Dane County, home to her district and the University of Wisconsin-Madison, she holds a narrow lead over Crowley.
YESnytimes.com98%match64¢+56%
Live: The early results in Wisconsin suggest that David Crowley, an establishment-backed Democratic candidate for governor, is running far more competitively against the democratic socialist Francesca Hong than pre-election polls suggested. Crowley leads the early returns across much of the state, with Hong underperforming even in relatively progressive counties.
YESnbcnews.com93%match3¢+3233%
Live: Wisconsin Gov. Evers campaigns for David Crowley in governor's race, weeks after endorsement
YESCNN Reporter92%match3¢+3233%
Inbox: Rep. Gwen Moore endorses David Crowley in #WIGOV Democratic primary
YESPolitico Reporter96%match6¢+1567%
A MAJOR shakeup in Wisconsin governor race with Mandela Barnes suspending his campaign • • more news w/ @TylerKatzen: Dem David Crowley is set to hit the trail with Gov. Tony Evers next week in the final stretch before Aug 11 - as they try to head off Democratic socialist Francesca Hong, per 4 ppl. • • Evers sent shockwaves thru the race by endorsing Crowley earlier this month, after another implosion in the messy primary. • • Evers is also slated to appear at several fundraisers for Crowley, including one in Madison tonight and a Friday event in Milwaukee, per the people • •
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)96%match9¢+1011%
BREAKING: Mandela Barnes has dropped out of the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary. • • This leaves Francesca Hong and David Crowley as the only remaining major candidates.
YESpolitico.com95%match26¢+285%
David Crowley reenters Wisconsin governor’s race with Evers endorsement
YESPolitico Reporter92%match17¢+488%
NEW: David Crowley tells me he’s “jumping back into this race” for WI Gov • • “I know what it means to step up during one of the toughest times — and some people would say all of this is a shit show …to make sure that we are building the necessary coalition”

Where does the news lean?

37YES0NO4neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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