FL-09 Republican Primary WinnerDan Green
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$32Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Decision Desk HQ projects Dan Green wins the Florida US House 9 Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:26 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 94% in): Florida US House 9 Republican Primary • • Dan Green (R): 14,354 (25.6%) • Ben Butler (R): 13,394 (23.9%) • Thomas Chalifoux (R): 11,481 (20.5%) • Jorge Martinez (R): 11,023 (19.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Where does the news lean?
4YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.