Core CPI YoY - June 20262.9%

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$7KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NONick Timiraos, WSJ99%match100¢
Core CPI *declined* in June, falling -0.02% and reducing the 12-month rate to 2.6%. • • Headline CPI also fell, and by a larger-than-expected -0.42%, lowering the 12-month rate to 3.5%.
NONews99%match100¢
US core CPI rose 2.6% year-on-year in June (Reuters forecast: rise 2.9%)
NONews99%match100¢
*US JUNE CORE CPI RISES 2.6% Y/Y; EST. +2.8%
NOdbnews99%match84¢+19%
*US JUNE CORE CPI RISES 2.6% Y/Y; EST. +2.8%

Where does the news lean?

1YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Related markets

See all outcomes for Core CPI YoY - June 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Other outcomes in this event

Trending now