China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?5.2-5.5%
ResolvedOutcome: No$24Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
China's Q2 GDP Growth at 4.3%... Slightly Below Forecast
China GDP (Q/Q) Q2: 0.9% (est 0.9%; prev 1.3%) • • - GDP (Y/Y): 4.3% (est 4.5%; prev 5.0%)
China's GDP growth rate slows sharply to 4.3% in second quarter
NOdbnews99%match100¢
*CHINA 2Q GDP YTD GREW 4.7% Y/Y; EST. +4.5%
NONews99%match100¢
*CHINA 2Q GDP GROWS 4.3% Y/Y; EST. +4.5%
NOdbnews99%match100¢
*CHINA 2Q GDP GREW 4.3% Y/Y; EST. +4.5%
Where does the news lean?
0YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 16, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
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