China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?4.6-4.9%
ResolvedOutcome: No$64Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
33 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
China falls short of economic growth targets China's gross domestic product grew 4.3 percent in the April-June quarter, down from 5 percent in the first quarter, falling short of China's full-year target of 4.5 to 5 percent, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday. @YjcNewsChannel
China's Q2 Economic Growth at 4.3%... Lowest Since 2022
China: Growth slowed to 4.3% in the second quarter, but indicators improved in June
Despite strong exports, China's GDP growth slowed to 4.3% year-on-year in the second quarter. However, China is still on track to achieve its revised full-year growth target of 4.5%-5.0%. Meanwhile, Chinese house prices continued to fall in June, although the rate of decline narrowed.
China's GDP growth rate of 4.3% marks slowest pace in over three years
China’s first-half economic growth rate 4.7%… Q2 at 4.3%, lowest since late 2022 (Roundup)
China's GDP grew 4.3% in the April-June quarter, supported by increased exports despite a decline in domestic consumption.
China's GDP grew 4.3% in the April-June quarter, but the slowdown in the economy is becoming clearer.
China's GDP slows; growth in the April-June quarter was 4.3%, falling short of the government's full-year target, due to the turmoil in the Middle East.
China's Q2 GDP grew at +4.3%, falling short of its target and slowing from +5.0% in January-March.
China's GDP for the April-June quarter grew by a significant 4.3% year-on-year, a sharp slowdown in growth rate, due to a slump in consumption caused by the real estate recession and the worsening situation in the Middle East.
China's Q2 GDP Growth at 4.3%... Slightly Below Forecast
China reports 4.3% per cent GDP growth in second quarter
YESNews99%match0¢
URGENT: China's GDP grew by 4.7% in the first half of 2026 - Statistics Bureau
[Breaking] China's Q2 GDP Growth at 4.3%... Falls Below Forecast
China GDP (Q/Q) Q2: 0.9% (est 0.9%; prev 1.3%) • • - GDP (Y/Y): 4.3% (est 4.5%; prev 5.0%)
China posts slowest GDP growth since 2022 at 4.3%, missing expectations
China's GDP growth rate slows sharply to 4.3% in second quarter
YESNews99%match5¢-100%
China's GDP Grew by 4.7% in the First Half of 2026 - State Bureau of Statistics
[Breaking News] China's real GDP growth rate for April-June increased by 4.3% year-on-year.
[Breaking News] China's GDP growth slows to 4.3% in April-June, falling short of its full-year target.
YESdbnews99%match9¢-100%
*CHINA 2Q GDP YTD GREW 4.7% Y/Y; EST. +4.5%
China's GDP grew 4.3% in the April-June quarter, but the high-tech industry performed well, though the growth slowed.
NONews99%match98¢+2%
*CHINA 2Q GDP GROWS 4.3% Y/Y; EST. +4.5%
YESNews99%match3¢-100%
*CHINA JAN.-JUNE GDP GROWS 4.7% Y/Y; EST. +4.8%
TASS: CHINA'S GDP GROWTH RATE IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR AMOUNTED TO 4.7% - STATE STATISTICS
China's GDP grew 4.3% in the April-June quarter, a slowdown from the previous quarter, as consumer spending remains sluggish.
NONews99%match95¢+5%
China's GDP for the April-June quarter grew 4.3% year-on-year.
China’s Q2 GDP growth slows to 4.3% y/y, misses market forecast
NOReuters99%match95¢+5%
China Q2 2026 GDP +4.3 % Y/Y (Reuters Poll +4.5%)
NOdbnews99%match95¢+5%
*CHINA 2Q GDP GREW 4.3% Y/Y; EST. +4.5%
China's GDP is projected to slow to 4.6% growth in April-June due to a slowdown in consumption and investment.
China's GDP is projected to slow to 4.6% growth in the April-June quarter due to a slowdown in consumption and investment.
Where does the news lean?
11YES27NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 16, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
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