China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?6.1%+
ResolvedOutcome: No$18Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
China: Growth slowed to 4.3% in the second quarter, but indicators improved in June
China's GDP growth rate of 4.3% marks slowest pace in over three years
China reports 4.3% per cent GDP growth in second quarter
NONews99%match100¢
URGENT: China's GDP grew by 4.7% in the first half of 2026 - Statistics Bureau
[Breaking News] China's real GDP growth rate for April-June increased by 4.3% year-on-year.
NONews98%match100¢
*CHINA JAN.-JUNE GDP GROWS 4.7% Y/Y; EST. +4.8%
NONews98%match100¢
China's GDP for the April-June quarter grew 4.3% year-on-year.
NOReuters99%match100¢
China Q2 2026 GDP +4.3 % Y/Y (Reuters Poll +4.5%)
Where does the news lean?
0YES8NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 16, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html
Related markets
See all outcomes for China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.