FL-19 Republican Primary WinnerCatalina Lauf
ResolvedOutcome: No$89Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
An actual Floridian won in what many described to me as the GOP “carpetbagger primary” to replace Rep. Donalds. Seven candidates were out of staters, not to mention came with baggage. • • My favorite fact about this race: Catalina Lauf, who Trump endorsed, ran against Jim Olberweis in 2020 in Illinois. Both ran here this year!
Sun Broadcasting president Jim Schwartzel wins #FL19, defeating Trump-endorsed transplant Catalina Lauf and a bunch of other transplant candidates not endorsed by Trump.
Results for the "carpetbagger primary" are in: Jim Schwartzel has beat President Trump's pick for Florida's 19th district, Catalina Lauf. • • Five candidates in this primary have represented or run for Congress in other states, including Lauf and former Reps. Madison Cawthorn (NC) and Chris Collins (NY).
Jim Schwartzel will win the #FL19 Republican primary, CNN projects. • • Schwartzel defeats Trump-backed Catalina Lauf.
Jm Schwartzel will win the #FL19 Republican primary, CNN projects. • • Schwartzel defeats Trump-backed Catalina Lauf.
Donald Trump's pick Catalina Lauf loses primary for Byron Donalds seat in Florida to Jim Schwartzel
DDHQ Race Update (est. 66% in): Florida US House 19 Republican Primary • • Jim Schwartzel (R): 17,829 (30.1%) • Catalina Lauf (R): 10,783 (18.2%) • Jim Oberweis (R): 10,088 (17.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
RT @realDonaldTrumpIt is my Great Honor to endorse America First Patriot, Catalina Lauf, who is running to represent the tremendous people of Florida’s 19th Congressional District! As a former Presidential Appointee at the U.S. Department of Commerce in my First Administration, Catalina has proven she has the Courage and Wisdom to deliver strong results for the incredible people of her State and Nation — She has truly been with us from the beginning! As your next Congresswoman, Catalina will fight tirelessly to Grow our Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE, Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Support our Military/Veterans, Advance Election Integrity, and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment. Catalina Lauf has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next Congresswoman from Florida’s 19th Congressional District — SHE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!
It is my Great Honor to endorse America First Patriot, Catalina Lauf, who is running to represent the tremendous people of Florida’s 19th Congressional District! As a former Presidential Appointee at the U.S. Department of Commerce in my First Administration, Catalina has proven she has the Courage and Wisdom to deliver strong results for the incredible people of her State and Nation — She has truly been with us from the beginning! As your next Congresswoman, Catalina will fight tirelessly to Grow our Economy, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., Unleash American Energy DOMINANCE, Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Support our Military/Veterans, Advance Election Integrity, and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment. Catalina Lauf has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next Congresswoman from Florida’s 19th Congressional District — SHE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN!
Where does the news lean?
2YES8NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.