Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?Nirav Shah
ResolvedOutcome: No$97Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Nirav Shah drops out, endorses Troy Jackson: “I am suspending my campaign for the United States Senate today and endorsing Troy Jackson. Susan Collins, Donald Trump, and Senate Republicans are banking on disunity and frustration from Maine Democrats to try and win this seat, and we are not going to give them that.”
Nirav Shah drops out of the race for the #MESEN nomination and endorses Troy Jackson:
Live: Nirav Shah, former Maine CDC director, announces candidacy to replace Platner
Live: Nirav Shah, governor primary runner-up, jumps into race to replace Platner
Live: Nirav Shah announces he's running to replace Platner
Where does the news lean?
7YES3NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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See all outcomes for Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.