Brazil Annual Inflation 20263.50-3.99%
Open$13Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NONews99%match76¢+32%
*BRAZIL FEB. CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.70% M/M; EST. +0.64%
Consumer prices in Brazil rise 0.70% in February
NOThe Economist99%match53¢+89%
Brazil has decent economic growth, an independent central bank and its primary budget is almost balanced. The country has one big problem, however
YESFirst Squawk99%match55¢-100%
BRAZIL ECONOMISTS ANNUAL IPCA INFLATION INDEX REACHING 3.97% IN 2026 VS 3.99% IN PREVIOUS ESTIMATE - CENBANK POLL
Where does the news lean?
4YES4NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Related markets
See all outcomes for Brazil Annual Inflation 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.