What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?↓ 45,000
Open$5.8Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES9¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
'Accumulation beneath the surface': Bitcoin rebounds above $61,000 as long-term holders accumulate amid steady ETF outflows
THE STREET: Bitcoin sinks lower as traders brace for $45,000
BITCOIN BEARS EYE $45K • • Bitcoin remains under pressure as higher U.S. rate expectations weigh on risk assets and the dollar strengthens. Markets are also digesting Strategy's potential $1.25 billion Bitcoin sale and the EU's MiCA licensing deadline. • • Meanwhile, Kalshi traders now forecast Bitcoin could fall to $45,000 this year, highlighting growing caution as the cryptocurrency trades near its recent lows. •
Bitcoin whipsaws on CME open as Iran tensions pressure crypto markets. • BTC briefly topped $82,400 before slipping below $81,000 as traders repositioned around CME futures open and geopolitical risks rattled markets.
Bitcoin ending May above $76,000 would confirm new bull market, Tom Lee says. • Tokenization and AI agentic finance are the main narratives driving the next bull cycle in crypto, Lee said at Consensus 2026.
Bitcoin exceeded $82,000 for the first time since January 31, according to data from the Binance exchange. The cryptocurrency rose by 1.2%, reaching $82.2 thousand. Subscribe to Kommersant on Telegram | MAX | Leave boosts
YESPolymarket98%match37¢-76%
[Replying to @Polymarket] Bitcoin is projected to crash below $50k this year. 60% chance. > BREAKING: CoinMarketCap's Crypto Fear and Greed Index falls to "extreme fear" level 5 — the highest fear level in history.
Where does the news lean?
6YES8NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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