What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?↓ 30,000
Open$807Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
QCP: Bitcoin’s Current Rally Is Backed by Solid Spot Support • • QCP Capital reported that from an underlying market structure perspective, BTC's current rally from $63,500 to above $80,000 is backed by solid spot support. The rally from $63,500 has been supported by ~$2.8B in spot ETF inflows, while BTC-denominated futures open interest fell from ~646k BTC in mid-August to ~588k BTC alongside subdued funding rates, indicating that short covering and spot buying—rather than aggressive leveraged longs—led the move. • • Macro conditions remain complex: July Core PCE held at 3.3% YoY with markets pricing a ~35% probability of a 25bp September hike, while the US Treasury's plan to double long-end liquidity buybacks to at least $4B per operation from Sept 9 and strong Nvidia earnings have buoyed risk sentiment.
'Accumulation beneath the surface': Bitcoin rebounds above $61,000 as long-term holders accumulate amid steady ETF outflows
Bitcoin whipsaws on CME open as Iran tensions pressure crypto markets. • BTC briefly topped $82,400 before slipping below $81,000 as traders repositioned around CME futures open and geopolitical risks rattled markets.
Bitcoin value 'off the chart' as BTC price metric hits record lows in 2026
Where does the news lean?
4YES6NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 58% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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