Alaska At-Large Primary WinnersBill Hill
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$5Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
DDHQ Race Update (est. 81% in): Alaska US House At-Large Primary • • Nick Begich (R): 53,078 (47.1%) • Bill Hill (N): 34,470 (30.6%) • Matt Schultz (D): 9,104 (8.1%) • Eric Hafner (D): 4,230 (3.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 61% in): Alaska US House At-Large Primary • • Nick Begich (R): 40,419 (47.8%) • Bill Hill (N): 24,937 (29.5%) • Matt Schultz (D): 6,805 (8.1%) • Eric Hafner (D): 3,188 (3.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Independent Bill Hill advances in race for Alaska’s GOP-held House seat
YESReuters98%match98¢+2%
Independent Bill Hill to Advance to General Election for Alaska’s Only U.S. House Seat - NBC Projects
YESReuters98%match98¢+2%
Independent Bill Hill to Advance to General Election for Alaska’s Only U.S. House Seat - AP Projects
Live: Independent Bill Hill advances from primary for Alaska’s lone US House seat
YESReuters98%match98¢+2%
Independent Bill Hill to Advance to General Election for Alaska’s Only U.S. House Seat - Ddhq Projects
Decision Desk HQ projects Nick Begich and Bill Hill win the Alaska US House At-Large Primary • • #DecisionMade: 1:00 AM EDT
YESAPws98%match98¢+2%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Independent Bill Hill advances to the general election for U.S. House in Alaska's at-large Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Independent Bill Hill advances to the general election for U.S. House in Alaska’s at-large Congressional District
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Alaska US House At-Large Primary • • Nick Begich (R): 20,856 (46.0%) • Bill Hill (N): 13,915 (30.7%) • Matt Schultz (D): 3,777 (8.3%) • Eric Hafner (D): 1,822 (4.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: Alaska also features competitive races for governor and its sole House seat. A host of Republicans and two prominent Democrats are vying to succeed Gov. Mike Dunleavy, a Republican who is term limited. In the House race, the matchup is likely to be set between Representative Nick Begich, a Republican, and Bill Hill, a commercial fisherman and educator running as an independent.
Matt Schultz suspends his campaign for U.S. House in Alaska, endorses Bill Hill
Where does the news lean?
14YES1NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Alaska At-Large Primary Winners — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.