Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

OpenVol$350KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 91% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES91¢
NO10¢

24has of

Where does the news lean?

1YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.