What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?No IPO by December 31, 2027

OpenVol$5KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES3¢
NO97¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOdigitimes.com.tw91%match90¢+8%
Anthropic's IPO prospectus reveals legal risks; liability remains unclear when AI-assisted agents cause problems.
NOdigitimes.com.tw94%match89¢+9%
Anthropic's IPO prospectus warns of government policy risks, potentially impacting its global operations.
NOcnbc91%match97¢
Anthropic warns government attitudes may hurt customer ties, IPO prospectus shows: Reuters
NOReuters92%match97¢
Exclusive - Anthropic Warns That Government Attitudes Toward the Company, Its Technology Could Have Implications for Its Business - IPO Prospectus Seen by Reuters
NOdigitimes.com.tw96%match99¢-2%
IPO prospectus revealed: Anthropic to lock in $518 billion in computing power for 10 years
NOReuters92%match99¢-2%
One-Third of Anthropic’s 2025 Revenue Came From Outside the US - IPO Filing Seen by Reuters
NOReuters94%match99¢-2%
Anthropic Got 47% of Its Sales From Distributors Amazon and Google in 2025 - IPO Filing Seen by Reuters
NOsemafor.com94%match99¢-2%
Anthropic's IPO prospectus details steep losses, existential risks
NOnytimes.com96%match99¢-2%
What’s in Anthropic’s I.P.O. Filing
NOnypost.com92%match99¢-2%
Anthropic’s IPO prospectus shows sweeping AI vision and surging costs
NOafp.com92%match99¢-2%
Anthropic warns of 'existential' AI risks in IPO filing: report
NOcnbc.com91%match99¢-2%
Anthropic warns investors of AI’s 'existential risk to humanity' in IPO prospectus, reports say
NObfmtv.com92%match99¢-2%
"Catastrophic or existential risks for humanity": in its IPO prospectus, Anthropic issues this extraordinary warning to its future shareholders.
NOmoney.udn.com95%match99¢-2%
Anthropic's IPO prospectus revealed, showcasing its AI strategy and massive losses.
NOdigitimes.com.tw94%match99¢-2%
Anthropic's IPO filing reveals AI security risks; founder plans to take key voting rights.
NOforbes.com96%match99¢-2%
Anthropic IPO Prospectus Warns Its AI Could Pose ‘Existential Risks To Humanity’. • Nearly 80 pages of the company’s 261-page initial public offering prospectus is dedicated to potential risk factors, while only 48 pages outline its business.
NOlivesquawk93%match97¢
Anthropic IPO prospectus shows key executives and board
NOcnbc92%match98¢-1%
Anthropic warns AI may pose 'existential risks to humanity' in IPO filing: Reuters
NOafr.com92%match98¢-1%
Anthropic warns AI may pose ‘existential risks to humanity’ in IPO filing
YESReuters95%match1¢+200%
Exclusive-Anthropic IPO Could Be Postponed Until After US Midterm Elections, Sources Say

Where does the news lean?

3YES62NO4neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holding company whose listing represents Anthropic's business. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. The IPO valuation will be determined in the following order of precedence: (1) the implied fully diluted valuation at the final IPO price, as stated in the final prospectus or in an official Anthropic announcement; (2) if no such figure is stated, the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis as disclosed in the final prospectus, where the fully diluted count includes all outstanding shares of every class and all shares underlying outstanding options, restricted stock units, warrants, and convertible instruments, regardless of vesting or exercise status and without applying the treasury stock method; (3) if the fully diluted share count cannot be determined from the final prospectus, the implied fully diluted IPO valuation as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If the determined valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic's IPO has not priced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". If the IPO prices by the deadline, the market will resolve according to the final prospectus even if it is published after the end date. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded without a priced initial public offering, including through a direct listing or through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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