August Inflation US - Annual3.4%
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$45Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Inflation stayed elevated in August as Americans continued paying higher prices at the pump. • • The annual inflation rate held steady at 3.4%, matching July’s reading and analyst expectations, according to the Labor Department. • • The report could add pressure on the Federal Reserve ahead of next week’s meeting. Three officials dissented in July in favor of raising rates, while others have said they could join them if inflation doesn’t improve.
The US CPI rose 3.4% year-on-year in August, in line with expectations, further fueling expectations of a September interest rate hike.
US August inflation rose 3.4%, flat growth, in line with market expectations.
[Breaking News] US August Consumer Price Index +3.4%
US inflation rose 3.4% in August, flat and in line with market expectations.
US Consumer Price Index for August rose 3.4% compared to the same month last year.
U.S. August CPI Holds at 3.4%, Core Inflation Falls to Lowest Since March 2021 • • U.S. CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, the largest increase in three months, while the annual inflation rate held at 3.4%, both in line with expectations. Gasoline prices jumped 3.9% and accounted for more than one-third of the monthly increase. Core CPI rose 0.3% on the month, also matching forecasts, while the annual core rate slowed to 2.4% from 2.5%, its lowest level since March 2021.
Inflation rises 3.4% in August in last report before Fed’s interest-rate decision
US consumer inflation unchanged at 3.4% year-on-year in August: govt
★ US August Consumer Price Index Rises 3.4%
US consumer prices rose 3.4% in August, indicating persistent inflation; the Fed will decide whether to raise interest rates.
August CPI inflation comes in at 3.4%, in-line with expectations of 3.4% • • 80% chance the Fed raises rates in September.
US inflation held steady at 3.4% year-on-year in August, in line with expectations.
YESNews93%match100¢
US CPI rose 3.4% year-on-year in August (Reuters forecast 3.4% increase).
Live: The numbers are out! U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4 percent in August and were up 3.4 percent from a year earlier. “Core” prices, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, were up 0.3 percent month-over-month and 2.4 percent year-over-year.
US CPI rose 3.4% year-on-year in August, in line with market expectations.
Where does the news lean?
16YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
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