What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Ukraine
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Andy Burnham seemed to commit to spending 3% of GDP on defence by 2030 in response to Q below. • • "I've made that commitment, made it very clear... and I have done, for a considerable period of time. • • "I was in Ukraine last week for a very specific reason to repeat it on the world stage there. So the honourable gentleman can be absolutely sure of that". • • But the PM *hasn't* committed to 3% by 2030 - the Nato target the UK has signed up to is 3.5% by 2035. Did he mishear?!
Andy Burnham seemed to commit to spending 3% of GDP on defence by 2030 in response. • • "I've made that commitment, made it very clear... and I have done, for a considerable period of time. • • "I was in Ukraine last week for a very specific reason to repeat it on the world stage there. So the honourable gentleman can be absolutely sure of that". • • But the PM *hasn't* committed to 3% by 2030 - the Nato target the UK has signed up to is 3.5% by 2035. Did he mishear?!
Where does the news lean?
2YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Andy Burnham does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
If Andy Burnham ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Andy Burnham titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/andy-burnham/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be audio/video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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