AZ-01 Democratic Primary WinnerAmish Shah
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$22Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Amish Shah wins the Democratic primary in Arizona’s 1st congressional district, @NBCNews projects. • • He defeats the DCCC-backed candidate Marlene Galan-Woods.
Amish Shah projected to win Arizona's 1st District Democratic primary
Amish Shah beats Democratic establishment pick in House primary in Arizona
Amish Shah wins Dem primary in battleground Arizona House race
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Amish Shah Wins Democratic Nomination for U.S. House in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District - AP News
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WASHINGTON (AP) — Amish Shah wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Arizona's 1st Congressional District
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Moderate Amish Shah Wins Democratic Primary for Arizona’s First District U.S. House Seat -- Decision Desk HQ Projects
Decision Desk HQ projects Amish Shah wins the AZ US House 1 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 9:53 PM EDT
Arizona-1 (Scottsdale area), House swing district. With 84% of the vote in, DCCC-backed candidate Marlene Galan-Woods is trailing Amish Shah in the Dem primary. Shah narrowly won this primary in 2024 and lost to Republican David Schweikert.
DDHQ Race Update (est. 70% in): Arizona US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Amish Shah (D): 24,662 (42.0%) • Marlene Galán-Woods (D): 18,949 (32.3%) • Jonathan Treble (D): 10,115 (17.2%) • Rick McCartney (D): 4,935 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
#AZ01 Democratic primary: The first drop of results in Maricopa County has 2024 nominee Amish Shah leading DCCC-backed Marlene Galán-Woods 42-32. That's an estimated 76% of the vote.
Where does the news lean?
11YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.