FL-02 Democratic Primary WinnerAmanda Green
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$19Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESAPws98%match90¢+11%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Amanda Green wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 2nd Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Amanda Green wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 2nd Congressional District
Where does the news lean?
2YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Related markets
See all outcomes for FL-02 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.