Candidates in next Labour leadership election?Al Carns
ResolvedOutcome: No$41Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Al Carns has abandoned his Labour leadership ambitions, paving the way for Andy Burnham’s coronation as prime minister by July 20 • •
Al Carns won’t stand. Andy Burnham is now almost certainly the next PM. • •
NEW: Former armed forces minister Al Carns has finally ruled himself out of standing for the Labour leadership. • • He has told Sky's @cathynewman that he is backing Andy Burnham. • • Nominations in the contest open tomorrow. • • More here:
NEW: Al Carns has told @cathynewman on @SkyNews he WON'T be challenging Andy Burnham in the Labour leadership contest, ahead of nominations formally opening tomorrow. • • That leaves Burnham as the only candidate who's publicly declared his intention to run.
Where does the news lean?
0YES4NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Candidates in next Labour leadership election? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.