CA-14 Special Election Winner?Aisha Wahab
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$112Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
21 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Aisha Wahab won the special election held in the US state of California despite pro-Israel lobbies. It is noteworthy that Wahab emerged victorious from the elections despite millions of dollars in aid given to her rival Melissa Hernandez by pro-Israel lobbies. Wahab will represent California's 14th district in the House of Representatives until January.
Live: Democrats rally behind progressive Aisha Wahab after her win in California special election
Live: Democrats rally behind progressive Aisha Wahab after win in California special election – US politics live
45 candidates critical of Israel and opposed to the AIPAC lobby who have won elections in recent months in the primary races for the US House of Representatives and Senate. Last night, "Aisha Wahab", a candidate critical of Israel, also won the special election for the 14th District of California in the House of Representatives. @isna94
45 candidates critical of Israel and opposed to the AIPAC lobby who have won elections in recent months in the US House of Representatives and Senate primaries "Aisha Wahab", a candidate critical of Israel, also won the special election for California's 14th District in the House of Representatives. @iribnews
Aisha Wahab wins race to fill Swalwell’s House seat, overcoming AIPAC spending, reports @praveenasoma
Progressive Aisha Wahab wins Eric Swalwell’s former House seat
Live: Progressive Aisha Wahab has been elected to Congress in a special election following a bitter intra-party battle over the seat formerly held by Eric Swalwell, w
Democrat Aisha Wahab Wins Special Election to Replace Eric Swalwell
California lawmaker Aisha Wahab wins special election to succeed Eric Swalwell in Congress
WASHINGTON (AP) - Democrat Aisha Wahab wins election to U.S. House in California's 14th Congressional District.
Aisha Wahab wins special election to serve out remainder of Eric Swalwell's term
Democrat Aisha Wahab wins the special election for Eric Swalwell’s former Bay Area House seat
Aisha Wahab wins special election to fill Swalwell’s former House seat
Aisha Wahab wins race to fill Swalwell’s House seat, overcoming AIPAC spending
Democrat Aisha Wahab wins California special election to fill Eric Swalwell’s US House seat
Aisha Wahab will defeat Melissa Hernandez in the #CA14 special election runoff, CNN projects
YESAPws98%match99¢+1%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Aisha Wahab wins election to U.S. House in California's 14th Congressional District
Democrat Aisha Wahab wins the special election for Eric Swalwell’s former California district
Democrat Aisha Wahab will win Swalwell’s House seat, CNN projects, overcoming millions in AIPAC spending
Decision Desk HQ projects Aisha Wahab wins the California US House 14 Special Election General • • #DecisionMade: 6:04 PM EDT
Where does the news lean?
24YES1NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Related markets
See all outcomes for CA-14 Special Election Winner? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.