Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd PlaceAfD

OpenVol$5KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOwelt.de92%match100¢
Poll: AfD leads by record margin in Allensbach survey – CDU falls to lowest level since 2021
NOhandelsblatt.com95%match100¢
Landtagswahl: AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt laut Umfrage bei 42 Prozent – BSW legt zu
NOhandelsblatt.com96%match99¢+1%
State election: AfD still clearly ahead of CDU in polls in Saxony-Anhalt
NOwelt.de96%match99¢+1%
AfD remains strongest party in Saxony-Anhalt – CDU loses ground, SPD and Greens clear the five percent hurdle
NOrunews99%match92¢+9%
Germany's right-wing AfD party hits record 42% in poll ahead of September state election in Saxony-Anhalt • • If they clear 44%, they'll win a majority — making Saxony-Anhalt the first state ruled by the AfD • • The party also opposes Ukraine aid and calls for better ties with Russia
NOwelt.de99%match90¢+11%
AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt bei 42 Prozent, SPD knapp drin

Where does the news lean?

0YES15NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Signal flow leans NO at 79% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

What would make this resolve YES?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

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