Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
Open$17Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 8% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES8¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
.@SLOTUS Usha Vance on whether her husband, @JDVance , will run for president in 2028: • • "My attitude is, have an open mind and open heart towards whatever might come next," she tells @RCamposDuffy
Vance returns to his hometown to lead the Republican campaign and test his chances of succeeding Trump in 2028 Al Arabiya
US Vice President Vance returns home to campaign, setting his sights on the 2028 presidential election.
Vance Fundraiser Brings In $5 Million as Speculation About A 2028 Presidential Run Grows. • Donald Trump Jr. was among the attendees.
Where does the news lean?
0YES7NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.