Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
Open$19Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Vance: Iran must reduce its uranium enrichment capabilities to end the war... and I haven't decided on running for US president.
===== US Vice President J.D. Vance to Reuters: Iran must reduce its uranium enrichment capabilities to end the war. It's unclear to us how the decision-making process works in Iran. I haven't decided on running for US president.
Vance hasn't yet decided whether he'll run for US president.
Vance: Iran must reduce its uranium enrichment capabilities to end the war... and I haven't decided yet about running for US president. US Vice President J.D. Vance to Reuters: Iran must reduce its uranium enrichment capabilities to end the war. It's unclear to us how the decision-making process works in Iran. I haven't decided yet about running for US president.
*VANCE TO REUTERS: HAVEN'T THOUGHT MUCH ABOUT RUNNING IN 2028
US Vice President Vance: I have not yet decided whether I will run in the upcoming elections
United States of America: Vance tells Reuters: I haven't decided yet whether to run for president
Vance's Prime Time Speech Kicks Off Sprint to 2028 -- WSJ
Live: The heckler incident fired up Vance and the crowd inside the arena, which started chanting, “28! 28!” referring to the next presidential election. Vance clearly enjoyed the moment but told the crowd to focus on winning the midterm elections before looking that far into the future.
JD Vance confronts Jewish GOP skeptics ahead of a 2028 run
.@SLOTUS Usha Vance on whether her husband, @JDVance , will run for president in 2028: • • "My attitude is, have an open mind and open heart towards whatever might come next," she tells @RCamposDuffy
Vance returns to his hometown to lead the Republican campaign and test his chances of succeeding Trump in 2028 Al Arabiya
US Vice President Vance returns home to campaign, setting his sights on the 2028 presidential election.
Vance Fundraiser Brings In $5 Million as Speculation About A 2028 Presidential Run Grows. • Donald Trump Jr. was among the attendees.
Where does the news lean?
0YES18NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.