Stablecoins depeg before 2027?USD1
Open$16Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESSolid Intel 📡98%match12¢-50%
INTEL: Tether’s $USDT supply has fallen 1.7% over the past month, marking its largest contraction since FTX crash amid MiCA implementation and recent market selloffs
YESFirst Squawk98%match12¢-50%
Binance holds about 87% of USD1, the stablecoin issued by a Trump family crypto venture, per Forbes. In 2025, the Securities and Exchange Commission dropped its lawsuit against Binance for alleged securities law violations just days after the exchange first listed USD1, and in…
Where does the news lean?
2YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USD1-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USD1 below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count.
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USD1-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSD1USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USD1-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USD1 information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USD1 was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.
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