US x Iran Effective Ceasefire (2 week pause)July 24

US military announces attack on Iran, calling it a "strong response" since July 23rd.

July 27 (Reuters) - Oil prices tumbled 7% on Monday, hitting a one-week low, ‌after the U.S. and Iranpaused strikes over the weekend following two weeks of attacks, raising hopes of a diplomatic solution that would de-escalate the conflict.

DUBAI, July 27 (Reuters) - Iran said on Monday it was still in control of the Strait of Hormuz and not seeking to resume peace talks ‌with the United States, after President Donald Trump halted a two-week bombing campaign that his top brass told him had run its course.

FWD from You're an Investor!: Oil prices plunged more than 11% amid a pause in attacks by the US and Iran The price of September Brent crude futures plunged 11.66% on the morning of July 27, hitting a low of $85.50 per barrel. Oil prices plummeted after Iran's armed forces halted strikes on US military targets in the Middle East. Tehran took this step in response to the US halting attacks on the country. According to The New York Times, one of the key factors behind US President Donald Trump's decision to abandon plans to sharply escalate the military campaign against Iran was concerns about the dwindling stockpiles of American Patriot interceptor missiles and other air defense systems in the Middle East. Read moreBrent crude oil prices plunged 11% to below $90 per barrel Data: TradingView Subscribe to the channel | We're on "Max"

Iran war live: Iran halts retaliatory strikes after pause in US attacks

IRAN TIES MILITARY PAUSE TO U.S. STRIKE SUSPENSION • • Iran will suspend its military operations as long as the United States maintains its pause in air strikes, a senior Iranian official told Reuters, following President Donald Trump’s decision to halt a two-week bombing campaign. • • After 13 consecutive nights of U.S. strikes, Washington has now gone two days without launching new attacks. Iran, which had responded to each wave of U.S. strikes by targeting neighbouring countries hosting American military bases, has also refrained from retaliatory operations during the same period. • • According to the Iranian official, Tehran’s position remains based on “attack for attack”: if U.S. military action resumes, Iran is prepared to launch a broad response. While Washington says the pause is intended to create space for diplomacy, Iranian officials remain deeply sceptical, describing the move as likely tactical rather than a genuine shift in U.S. policy. • • U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz said Trump wants to give negotiations an opportunity, though no further details were provided. Meanwhile, reports from The New York Times, CNN and Axios suggest Trump halted planned strikes after advisers raised concerns over missile defence stockpiles and the risks of further escalation. • • The temporary lull comes as tensions remain high across the region, with the Houthis expanding attacks on Saudi oil infrastructure and energy markets continuing to react to uncertainty surrounding the conflict.

A senior Iranian source told Reuters that the Islamic Republic will stop its attacks as long as the United States continues to halt its attacks, but Tehran remains skeptical of Washington's intentions. "The Islamic Republic's position remains 'attack for attack'; if the attacks stop, Tehran will also stop its operations. This message has already been conveyed to the United States," the source told Reuters on Sunday, August 25. The comments came a day after Washington halted its airstrikes after 13 consecutive nights. "There is more pessimism than optimism about the cessation of attacks. The prevailing view is that this cessation is tactical, not real," the source added.

Iranian military: Iran suspends reciprocal strikes after US halts attacks on Iran for the past two nights.

🇺🇸 Iran passed another night without US airstrikes on Sunday, as Washington paused a war nearing its fifth month and reports emerged that concerns over dwindling munitions were restraining plans for further escalation. • âž¡ï¸�

After 13 nights of attacks, Trump ordered a halt to attacks on Iran on Friday night, to allow more space for talks – but the US military remains on alert for renewed fighting.

US President Donald Trump ordered no new strikes on Iran on Friday, July 25, ending a nearly two-week streak of daily attacks, Axios reported, citing two sources familiar with the American leader's decision. According to the publication, over the previous 13 days, Trump had approved strike plans daily, which the military carried out within hours. On Friday, the president received a similar plan, but did not give the green light, instead ordering no strikes. Trump's decision, as Axios notes, reflects both his willingness to allow more space for diplomacy and his recognition that the current level of US strikes has reached the limits of their effectiveness. RBK Channel on "Max" RBK app for iOS and Android

Mediators push for new ceasefire, but Trump considers return to full-scale war President Trump is approaching a crucial crossroads in the war with Iran, with senior American and Israeli officials claiming that he has only two realistic options: promoting a new 10-day ceasefire, designed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Or: launching a new, large-scale military campaign together with Israel, with the aim of forcing Tehran to surrender. Why is this important: Trump has not yet made a decision. However, those familiar with the details believe that the coming days will determine which path he chooses, with only limited room for maneuver left to continue the ongoing and undecided war that currently paralyzes the Gulf region. In the news center: Qatar, Egypt, Pakistan and other regional mediators have presented the United States and Iran with a proposal for a 10-day ceasefire, two regional sources with direct knowledge of the effort said. According to senior American officials, the Trump administration is reviewing the proposal and does not want Israel to take any steps at this time that could close the diplomatic window of opportunity. But that could change quickly if Trump decides he is not interested in a ceasefire. At the same time, Washington is also preparing for the possibility that the talks will fail. The US military has sent dozens of fighter jets and refueling planes to the region in recent days, thus mobilizing the forces needed for a significant military escalation. Israeli sources say that the IDF is on high alert and preparing for a scenario of expanding the fighting to a full, coordinated campaign within days. The big picture: Ten consecutive nights of American bombing failed to break Iran's grip on the Strait of Hormuz, deepening Trump's involvement in a war that he himself repeatedly declared he had already won. At least three American soldiers have been killed since the fighting resumed. Trump said Monday he had ordered the Pentagon to make Iran "pay many times over" for every American soldier killed. Oil prices briefly crossed $90 a barrel over the weekend after Iran expanded its attacks on merchant ships and infrastructure in the Gulf. U.S. gas prices also rose again, fueling public criticism of an already unpopular war. focusing on: Regional mediators are once again trying to stem the cycle of escalation, which is becoming more deadly, costly, and harder to contain with each additional attack. The new ceasefire proposal includes: a 10-day cessation of fighting, the opening of both shipping lanes in the Strait of Hormuz, and the creation of a calm that will allow Washington and Tehran to save the crumbling Memorandum of Understanding (MOU). "We told the United States and Iran that we are offering a cooling-off period," said one of the regional sources. Snapshot: At this point, neither Trump nor Iran has agreed to the offer, and both sides are still trying to improve their bargaining position through additional strikes before agreeing to a ceasefire. Meanwhile, the Houthis in Yemen, who are supported by Iran, have declared a naval blockade of Saudi ports, thus opening another front against energy infrastructure and shipping lanes in the region. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has warned that Israel will respond to any Iranian attack with massive strikes, increasing the risk of the war expanding from the Gulf to the Red Sea and Israel. behind the scenes: According to regional sources, the mediators are trying to build on a proposal discussed on July 11 in Muscat between Oman, Iran, and Qatar, during which the United States demanded that Iran publicly commit to keeping the Strait of Hormuz open. The talks ended without an agreement, and shortly thereafter Iran attacked merchant ships in the Strait - which led to the start of the American bombing campaign, which has continued every night since. According to the proposal: Both shipping lanes in the Strait will be fully reopened. The southern lane, which passes through Omani territorial waters, will be free from Iranian attacks, the northern lane, which passes through Iranian territorial waters, will be free from the American blockade. During the ten-day ceasefire, the United States and Iran will negotiate a long-term arrangement to regulate passage through the Strait. One option would allow Iran and Oman to charge "reasonable service fees" for shipping security, environmental protection and other services, according to one of the sources. The same source pointed to the Strait of Malacca model, in which Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore charge for certain services, but do not impose a general transit fee. Another idea is that the funds will be channeled into a joint fund to be managed with the participation of the International Maritime Organization (IMO). Among the parties involved in the mediation: Qatari Prime Minister Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, Qatari envoy Ali Al-Thawadi, Pakistani Army Commander Field Marshal Asim Munir, Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdel-Ati, and Omani Foreign Minister Badr Al-Busaidi. between the lines: A regional source said ceasefire efforts gained momentum on Saturday but stalled after an Iranian missile strike in Jordan killed at least two American soldiers, prompting Washington to temporarily withdraw from the talks. A senior American official confirmed that the talks are continuing, but said that Trump has not yet finished responding to the killing of American soldiers. “The president is focused on making Iran pay for violating the memorandum of understanding and continuing its terrorist activities in the Strait of Hormuz,” the US official said. “The president will also make Iran pay for the killing of American soldiers. These devastating blows will continue until the president decides otherwise.” What they say: Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baqaie confirmed on Monday that mediators are working to prevent further escalation. "The offers that were submitted through the intermediaries were accepted by us, but at this stage I prefer not to go into their details," he said at a press conference. He added that Iran's armed forces will continue to "respond forcefully and strike at the source of American aggression." Why to pay attention: It is unclear whether Trump received a full briefing on the ceasefire outline, or whether he would be willing to agree to another temporary ceasefire without a clear path to a permanent agreement. Since the collapse of the ceasefire, Trump has expressed deep frustration with Tehran, calling its leaders "sick people" and saying that continuing negotiations is a "waste of time." A regional source said the White House may continue bombing Iran for a few more days to avenge the deaths of American soldiers in Jordan, before seriously considering the proposal. The bottom line: “We are trying to formulate a sustainable solution,” said one regional source. “The Iranians cannot dictate the terms, but they cannot be ignored either.”

CENTCOM: U.S. forces ended the seventh consecutive night of strikes against Iran on July 17 at 9:30 p.m. ET. • • U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) hit surveillance sites, military logistics infrastructure, underground weapons storage, and maritime capabilities. U.S. forces employed fighter aircraft, aerial drones, and warships in addition to other assets.

Continuation of US aggression and hostility/CENTCOM announces end to wave of attacks on Wednesday night Following a new wave of aggressive attacks on Iran, the US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced that it had ended the wave of attacks at 9pm (Wednesday) Eastern Time on July 15 (July 25). @IRNA_1313