Next round of US-Iran peace talksJuly 3
ResolvedOutcome: No$2.5Mas of
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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
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32 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
#Breaking | Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Ismail Baghaei:
The terms of the interim agreement must be implemented before talks with the US can begin to reach a final agreement.
The communication channel between Iran and the US is political, not military.
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesman Esmail Baghaei: The talks are taking place in an atmosphere of mistrust, and we expected obstacles in implementing the memorandum of understanding, especially from Israel. The commitments are clear and reciprocal, and we are monitoring the other party's adherence to its commitments in real time and taking the necessary measures to protect Iran's national interests.
My position: The terms of the interim agreement must be implemented before talks with America can begin to reach a final agreement.
Iran says interim deal must be implemented before final US talks can begin
IRAN'S BAGHAEI SAYS INTERIM DEAL CLAUSES NEED TO BE IMPLEMENTED BEFORE TALKS WITH U.S. TO REACH FINAL DEAL CAN START
NOReuters99%match65¢+54%
Iran’s Baghaei Says Interim Deal Clauses Need to Be Implemented Before Talks with U.S. to Reach Final Deal Can Start
Assaf Rosenzweig
Iranian Foreign Ministry: Access for International Atomic Energy Agency inspectors to the damaged nuclear facilities is blocked. We will not hold a meeting with the US in the coming days, we have emphasized this very clearly. The US has explicitly pledged that the fighting in Lebanon will end
IRNA Live Coverage;
Baqai: If the other side does not fulfill its obligations according to Article 13 of the Memorandum of Understanding, the continuation of the process will face difficulties / We have favorable conditions regarding some clauses, including issuing exemptions from sanctions and lifting the blockade The Foreign Ministry Spokesperson, in response to a question regarding the assessment of the recent US attacks on targets inside the territory of the Islamic Republic of Iran and the possibility of their negative impact on the continuation of the ongoing peace negotiations: It is natural that the US's failure to adhere to its obligations according to the Memorandum of Understanding will definitely have a negative impact on the continuation of the process, and there is no doubt about this. First of all, we will not leave any action unanswered; As the powerful Iranian armed forces have shown, any act of aggression against the objectives of the Islamic Republic of Iran will be met with a decisive and immediate response. Secondly, these actions are considered a violation of the first paragraph of the Memorandum of Understanding, and naturally, in the event that such violations are repeated and continue, the continuation of this process will be difficult. I draw your attention to paragraph 13 of the Memorandum of Understanding and the fact that the discussion regarding the final agreement is subject to the commencement of the implementation of paragraphs 1, 4, 5, 10 and 11 of the Memorandum of Understanding and their continued implementation. We have a relatively favorable situation with respect to some of the paragraphs; including the termination of the naval blockade and the issuance of an exemption related to the sale of Iranian oil and petrochemical products, as well as the commitment of the Islamic Republic of Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz, to which we have been fully committed. But in relation to some cases, we are facing serious challenges, and in this regard, it is necessary for the other party to implement its obligations in accordance with the clauses of the memorandum of understanding. @IRNA_1313 [in reply to: IRNA Live Coverage;
Survival: The suspension or severance of relations is a unilateral and unjustified decision by Canada, and if we receive a request to reopen, we will review it The spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to the question that "After almost 10 years, the Canadian government recently announced that it is officially considering the issue of reopening the embassy in Tehran or at least resuming consular activities. How should we evaluate the signal of a change in approach in this country's foreign policy? Thank you." He said: It has been more than 10 years, since December 2012, when Canada unilaterally and without any specific reason decided to suspend its diplomatic relations with the Islamic Republic of Iran. Since then, Iranians living in Canada have been among those who have suffered due to the inability to provide consular services, and this has shown that the Canadian government has not paid much attention to humanitarian issues and human rights. Regarding your question, it should be specifically said that we have not received any official request in this regard. The suspension or severance of relations was a unilateral and unjustified decision by Canada. If we receive a request in this regard, we will review it, but so far no such request has been received. @IRNA_1313]
Event sources: Indirect negotiations on Wednesday between US and Iranian delegations
IRNA live coverage; Baqai: Our principle in negotiations is "commitment for commitment" / We monitor the fulfillment of the other party's commitments in real time / We use all our levers to protect national interests IRNA Question: Nearly twenty days have passed since the signing of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding. Apart from the details of these negotiations and the situation in which the two sides are, the specifics of which you described last night, there is a growing concern that the implementation of this Memorandum of Understanding, considering two issues: first, the content of its text, which indirectly links the implementation of parts to Israel's participation in the deal, and second, influential margins, including America's willingness to abide by its commitments, is facing great difficulties that could even make it impossible to reach a conclusion. What is the Foreign Ministry's view on this situation? To what extent do you think the challenges can prevent the Memorandum of Understanding from moving on the designated path? These concerns subconsciously lead the mind towards repeating the war scenario. Spokesperson for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in response to IRNA: From the beginning, when we entered this diplomatic process, no one imagined a smooth and challenge-free process. Keep in mind that this diplomatic process began after two wars, in less than a year; in an atmosphere of intense suspicion, in an atmosphere of mistrust, and given previous experiences, experiences of America's breach of promise and the Zionist regime's sabotage. Well, we expected to face challenges in the implementation phase. At the same time, I think it has been clear to all of you from the very beginning that the principle of "commitment for commitment" means that we will implement our commitments as long as the other party implements theirs. No commitment is supposed to be implemented unilaterally and unilaterally. The commitments of the parties are completely clear and transparent. The text of the memorandum of understanding is written very precisely and clearly. It is clear in both paragraph one that the cessation of war on all fronts must include Lebanon, and that the United States, as the other party to the memorandum of understanding, must adhere to its obligations and do everything necessary in relation to Lebanon to stop the military aggression of the Zionist regime against Lebanon. Considering this background and these circumstances, we must monitor the fulfillment of the other party's obligations in real time. Wherever necessary, we will use our tools and levers to protect Iran's national interests and national security. @IRNA_1313 [in reply to: IRNA live coverage; The survival of all elements of the system is in the process of making decisions related to war, peace, and negotiations / We have a multi-voiced society and people express their opinions / We should avoid fueling discussions that cause division The Foreign Ministry Spokesperson responded to a question about some criticism of the Iranian negotiating team and some slogans and protests in street rallies: We have a multi-voiced society and it is natural for all our people to monitor developments intelligently and carefully and to be concerned about national security and national interests. I think this is one of the blessings of the Islamic Revolution that our people are both consciously thinking about issues related to their fate and expressing their opinions. We must appreciate this and, in cases where it is necessary, further explanation must be provided. But I would like to make one point to you with firm determination, and that is that every decision made regarding our duties as a diplomatic apparatus is based on a procedure that has been established in the country for several decades. All the organs of the system are involved in the decision-making process related to war and peace and related to negotiations and discussions that are very fundamental to the current and future situation of the country. It is not the case that a ministry or a specific apparatus makes a decision alone. Every decision is definitely made based on weighing its advantages and disadvantages, and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs is ultimately obliged to implement the instructions that are communicated to it by higher-level institutions, including the Supreme National Security Council. It is important that in these circumstances, we do not refrain from any statements or words that are aimed at strengthening national cohesion, and on the other hand, we avoid fueling discussions that are not realistic and could cause division among the people. @IRNA_1313]
No direct talks between the US and Iran are planned; US Special Envoy Witkoff and others in Doha will meet with mediators.
Sources indicate that tomorrow's indirect US-Iran negotiations will focus on Hormuz and overall stability.
Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: There are no plans to meet with the US in the next few days.
Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs: As long as the repeated violations of the understanding by the US continue, the continuation of the negotiations will face difficulties We have not left any aggressive act unanswered and will not leave it unanswered. We are facing serious challenges regarding some of the understandings.
@Farsna [in reply to: Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs: We will implement our commitments as long as the other party implements its commitments The text of the memorandum of understanding has very clearly and precisely specified the commitments of both parties. The US, as the other party to the agreement, is responsible for stopping the Zionist regime in Lebanon.
@Farsna]
Regarding the recent US attacks on targets on Iranian soil, Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghai said that these actions violated the first paragraph of the memorandum of understanding and that if they continue, the negotiation process will face difficulties.
US forces launch renewed attacks on Iranian military facilities, citing "failure to abide by ceasefire agreement," escalating the exchange of retaliation.
‘Tit-for-tat’ attacks between US, Iran could ‘get out of hand’
US military says it struck multiple targets in Iran as ceasefire is strained by 2nd day of attacks
The strikes targeted military observation posts, communications systems, and drone storage facilities. The US military launched additional strikes on several targets inside Iran following the latest attack on an oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz.
A US official on the reason for the strikes on the same sites in Iran: Iran has rebuilt its air defense systems and missiles along the Strait of Hormuz since the end of the US-led bombing campaign on April 7.
BREAKING: US STRIKES MULTIPLE TARGETS IN IRAN AT TRUMP'S DIRECTION • • The US military said Saturday it struck multiple targets in Iran at President Trump's direction, continuing a string of strikes that have strained the war's uneasy ceasefire, per AP. • • The military said on X that "Iran had a chance to honor the ceasefire agreement" but "elected not to" when its forces attacked a ship near the Strait of Hormuz earlier Saturday. Iran state TV reported explosions north of the strait. • • The strikes follow US attacks a day earlier on Iranian missile and drone storage sites and coastal radar locations. The June 17 deal to end the war and reopen the waterway has continued to fray.
This second round of strikes followed a second ship being hit by IRGC in the Strait of Hormuz at 4:30 am this morning and 9 one way attack drones being fired by Iran at a US base in Bahrain last night: US official said while confirming tonight’s round of airstrikes is complete.
The United States Central Command (CENTCOM) announced in a statement on Sunday morning, July 28, that its forces, on the orders of the Commander-in-Chief, have launched a new round of strikes against multiple targets in Iran. Noting that after yesterday’s attacks, “Iran was given an opportunity to respect the ceasefire agreement,” CENTCOM emphasized that Tehran rejected this opportunity by launching a suicide drone at 4:30 a.m. Eastern Time today against the Panamanian tanker “M/T Kiko” containing more than two million barrels of crude oil near the Strait of Hormuz. The statement continued by stating that today’s attacks were carried out “in direct response to Iran’s continued aggression against commercial shipping,” and that American fighter jets targeted Iranian military surveillance infrastructure, communications systems, air defense sites, drone storage, and mine-laying capabilities. CENTCOM concluded by emphasizing the continued passage of commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz, warning: "US forces remain alert, lethal and ready."
@VahidOOnLine @VahidOnline
Upon orders from President Trump, US military carries out second day of attacks against Iran. “Iran was given a chance to honor the ceasefire agreement but elected not to when its forces launched a one-way attack drone that hit M/T Kiku this morning,” CENTCOM says.
The US is launching a series of strikes against targets in Iran in response to the attack on the tanker - Axios journalist
01:12/ July 27
The United States has attacked targets in the Strait of Hormuz in response to Iran's attacks on offending ships in the Strait of Hormuz over the past two days, as well as this morning's Iranian attack on CENTCOM military bases in Bahrain. This time, before the US attack, Iran preemptively destroyed some of the US strategic assets that had recently been moved to the region.
The US and Iran exchange attacks, with Iran retaliating, citing "violations of the memorandum of understanding."
The US bombs sensitive Iranian sites in response to an attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz. Does this military escalation threaten the Swiss agreements?
Iran says US violated peace deal as both sides attack
The stances in Iran regarding the Islamic Republic's understanding with the United States have intensified in recent days, in the absence of the public presence of Mojtaba Khamenei, and have continued in Friday prayer sermons in several cities. The Friday prayer imam of Mashhad told the negotiating team: "Do not make deals with the murderer of our martyred Imam." Hossein Yekta, a commander of the Revolutionary Guard Corps, also said that the experience of Ruhollah Khomeini's acceptance of the resolution should not be repeated. A conversation with Alam Saleh, Associate Professor of International Relations at the Australian National University, and Jaber Rajabi, political analyst
US strikes Iran
US strikes Iran
Where does the news lean?
5YES30NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
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