Next round of US-Iran peace talksAugust 15

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$502KResolvedas of

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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

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NO100¢

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37 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOIran Foreign Ministry92%match97¢+3%
Meeting of the Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs with the media, Monday, August 19, 2021, answer to question 11: The decision-making process is clear. Every negotiation conducted by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs is under the supervision of the Supreme National Security Council, and its process and procedure are fully reported. This process is followed based on the instructions issued by the higher authorities. In this case, the same procedure will be followed. Regarding whether we are currently [holding negotiations] with the United States, I have already mentioned it; I think Dr. Araqchi also mentioned the same issue yesterday. We are not holding negotiations with the United States. It is natural that the exchange of messages will take place through mediators and on the issues of the day, but what the next step will be depends on the circumstances. Currently, we are focused on negotiations with Oman to determine the shipping route. @MFAIran [in reply to: Meeting of the Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs with the media, Monday, August 19, 1405, Question 11: Regarding the memorandum of understanding with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz, it is said that there are reports that this issue is going to be decided in our Supreme National Security Council and this memorandum of understanding will be signed. Is this true? Also, regarding the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, the Islamabad memorandum of understanding should be revived. Are there consultations and negotiations through mediators with the United States to revive this memorandum of understanding or not? @MFAIran]
NOlbcgroup.tv93%match79¢+27%
Sources following the negotiations told LBCI that a preliminary date for a new round of talks is set for September 1st, and that the American side has pledged to follow up on the issues of prisoners and borders with both sides during the interim period.
YESiranintlbrk93%match28¢-100%
CNN reported that Washington and Tehran have a “50-50” chance of reaching an agreement by Friday, citing a senior Gulf official. The official said the Iranian delegation to the talks does not include a representative of the Revolutionary Guard Corps, and the details of the interim agreement must be approved by the body.
YESnews.tv-asahi.co.jp94%match35¢-100%
US Treasury Secretary: Iran talks could reach an agreement on the 4th or 5th.
NOalmayadeenlive91%match73¢+37%
Iran: Press TV, citing a source, reports that the ongoing talks are bilateral between Iran and Oman and have no connection to the United States.
YESsedaily.com91%match25¢-100%
US and Iran Resume Negotiations Gaining Momentum… Qatar “Draft Agreement Prepared”
YESaljazeera.com91%match25¢-100%
Live: Qatar hopeful agreement between US, Iran will be reached in coming hours, days
NOibtimes.com92%match77¢+30%
Qatar Says Efforts To Reach U.S.-Iran Deal Are 'Ongoing.' But There Are No Direct Talks On The Horizon. • Qatar spokesperson Majed Al-Ansari said efforts to reach a deal between the U.S. and Iran are ongoing but there are no direct talks in the plans.
NOchinesewsj91%match81¢+23%
Iran said on Monday that there were no ongoing negotiations or planned meetings with the United States. However, the Iranian Foreign Ministry acknowledged that it is continuing negotiations with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz.
NON12 Reporter92%match76¢+32%
Despite Trump's comments last night, US officials told CBS that no new round of talks is planned. They said it is a continuation of the talks that are already underway, through mediators, between the US and Iranian teams.
NOiranintl93%match75¢+33%
CBS News reported, citing US officials, that despite US President Donald Trump's statement last night that talks with the Islamic Republic were set to begin on Monday afternoon, no "new" or different negotiations are planned. According to the report, only the ongoing talks between Steve Whitaker, Trump's special envoy for the Middle East, Jared Kushner and the US negotiating team with representatives of the Islamic Republic are continuing through mediators. Esmail Baghaei, spokesman for the Islamic Republic's Foreign Ministry, said in a press conference on Monday that Tehran has no plans to hold direct talks with Washington; a comment that angered Trump, who called the Islamic Republic's leadership "dishonorable" in a post on Truth Social.
NOIran Semi-Official Tasnim94%match75¢+33%
Pakistani official: No meeting between US, Iranian negotiators scheduled Anadolu: “No date or place” has been finalized for the resumption of direct talks between the US and Iran aimed at ending the months-long war. No meeting between US and Iranian negotiators is scheduled in Islamabad for at least the next 24 hours. Pakistani and Qatari mediators are in contact with Washington and Tehran to finalize the date and place for the resumption of talks. @TasnimNews
NOIranian Journalist94%match79¢+27%
The spokesman for the Islamic Republic's Foreign Ministry says that there are currently no negotiations between Iran and the United States. In his weekly meeting with reporters on Monday, August 12, Esmail Baghaei added that what is currently underway are bilateral negotiations between the two coastal states of Iran and Oman. He says that "the presence of others in these negotiations can be constructive or destructive, but the issue is between Iran and Oman." His comments come as US President Donald Trump announced that negotiations with Iran will begin on Monday afternoon, August 12. However, he did not explain to reporters on Sunday, when returning to Washington from a weekend vacation in New Jersey, where the talks will be held or who will participate in them. @VahidHeadline The spokesman for the National Security and Foreign Policy Commission of the Majlis says that "no discussion" of negotiations with the United States is currently on the agenda. Hassan Qashqawi in The interview, published by the Student News Agency, added that the Iranian government is not negotiating with Washington, especially on the nuclear issue. He added without giving details: "Even in other possible paths, the nuclear issue has not been discussed, and the future of this issue is completely clear in the relevant texts." The parliamentarian stated that the Islamic Republic's current priority is "the lifting of primary and secondary sanctions in Congress and the return of Iran's frozen assets." @VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
NOReuters Reporter91%match76¢+32%
Aug 3 (Reuters) - Iran said on Monday there were no talks under way with the United States and no plans for any meetings, contradicting U.S. President Donald Trump who had ‌cited talks he said would take place that afternoon as justification for calling off attacks.
NOIran Foreign Ministry91%match73¢+37%
Meeting of the Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs with the media, Monday, August 12, 1405, answer to question 18: We did not violate the memorandum of understanding; it was the United States that violated the memorandum of understanding. In response to the question of the IRIB reporter, I tried to provide some explanation. In our statement, we also explained in detail what happened on July 16 and 17; that the United States, in a highly disproportionate reaction to a claim that has not yet been proven and it is not really clear what the incident was, suddenly announced that it would not implement any of its obligations. The task is quite clear. We have not been the pioneers in violating any understanding, and therefore, to use a football expression, the ball has long been in America's court. @MFAIran [in reply to: Meeting of the Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs with the media, Monday, August 12, 1405, Question 18: Mr. President last night described the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding as the center of gravity of the country's foreign relations in the future and said that efforts should be made to make the enemy return to its commitments in the Memorandum. From your answers to the first two or three questions, I understood that there was no exchange of messages or talk about returning to the Memorandum from the United States. Please explain what the status of the exchange of messages is? Have any conditions been set for the United States to re-implement the Memorandum or not? @MFAIran]
NORussian Media92%match73¢+37%
Iran is not negotiating with the United States; issues of ensuring the safety of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz are being discussed with Oman. This was stated by the representative of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ismail Baghaei, whose words are quoted by the Tasnim news agency. “To avoid ambiguity, it is necessary to clarify with whom the negotiations are being conducted. At the moment, we are not negotiating with the United States. Negotiations are being conducted with Oman,” he said. According to him, although the negotiations are bilateral, other states can also contribute to stabilizing the situation. Subscribe to Kommersant in MAX | in Telegram [in reply to: Donald Trump announced that negotiations between Washington and Tehran will begin on August 3. “I think there is a deal. There is a deal on the Strait of Hormuz. "Then there will be an agreement on the nuclear issue, or, one might say, on the denuclearization of Iran," Mr. Trump told reporters. As Donald Trump recalled, the United States decided not to launch a new attack on Iran at the request of Middle Eastern countries. According to him, Tehran also asked Washington not to launch new strikes. At the same time, Mr. Trump added, the United States is ready to launch an attack "at any time we want." Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram]
NOIran Foreign Ministry93%match73¢+37%
Meeting of the Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs with the media, Monday, August 12, 2021, answer to the first question: In order to avoid ambiguity, it might be better to pose the question as follows: What is our current negotiation about and with which party? We are not negotiating with the United States right now. The negotiation is with Oman, focused on reaching an understanding on a route that will ensure safe shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Our effort is to determine a route at the earliest opportunity, in consultation with Oman and in cooperation with Oman; a route that will usually be temporary and based on which we can ensure the safety of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Therefore, these negotiations are bilateral negotiations between the two coastal states. Others can certainly appear constructive or destructive in this route, in this process; but the issue is related to Iran and Oman. What happens in the next stage must be decided. Last night, I also announced that an understanding on the safe shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz is a necessary condition for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, but it is not a sufficient condition. The Strait of Hormuz has not been closed due to disagreements between Iran and Oman. The Strait of Hormuz has been in trouble since March 29th of last year due to the military aggression of the United States and the Zionist regime, and as long as the evil of the United States continues, as long as the naval blockade of Iran continues, as long as the military aggression of the United States against Iran and its interests continues, and as long as all the violations that the United States has violated during this period continue, there will be no specific event or change in the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Therefore, the focus of the negotiations with Oman will be on the Strait of Hormuz. Regarding issues related to Iran and the US, we will have to see in the next stages what direction the situation will take. @MFAIran [in reply to: Meeting of the Spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs with the media, Monday, 12 Mordad 1405, First question: Recently, the Foreign Minister announced that they are finalizing the memorandum of understanding with Oman (on the issue of the Strait of Hormuz). Given that the United States has violated several clauses of the memorandum of understanding, have the consultations that are being held through mediators led to the restoration of all clauses of the memorandum of understanding and the return of the United States to fulfilling its obligations? Also, what are Iran's conditions for returning to this memorandum of understanding? @MFAIran]
YESalarabytv91%match27¢-100%
After days of mutual threats and escalation, Trump confirms that negotiations with Iran will begin today, Monday, with the aim of reaching an agreement on the future management of the Strait of Hormuz and the nuclear issue.
NOiranintl92%match73¢+37%
Ismail Baghaei, spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, announced in a press conference on Monday, August 3, that there are no negotiations with the United States, but negotiations with Oman on the issue of "safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz" are underway. The spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic said: "The negotiations with Oman are focused on reaching an understanding on a route that will ensure safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz." He added that these bilateral negotiations are "between two coastal states" and that the Islamic Republic is trying to determine a route at the earliest opportunity, in consultation and cooperation with Oman, which "will usually be temporary," and based on that, provide "navigation safety" in the Strait of Hormuz.
NOiranintlbrk93%match72¢+39%
"Iran has no negotiations with the United States, and the talks are only with Oman, focusing on a safe shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz," Foreign Ministry spokesman Baqai said in a press conference on Monday, August 3. He added that this issue is related to Iran and Oman.
NOiranintlbrk94%match72¢+39%
"Iran has no negotiations with the United States, and the talks are only with Oman, focusing on a safe shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz," Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghaei said in a press conference on Monday, August 3. He added that this issue is related to Iran and Oman.
YESaa_arabic92%match28¢-100%
US President Donald Trump announces that negotiations between the United States and Iran will resume today, Monday, expressing optimism about the possibility of reaching an agreement. Trump made the remarks to reporters aboard the plane as he returned from New Jersey to Washington, D.C.
YESBelarus State News Agency92%match28¢-100%
Trump said the US and Iran will begin talks on Monday. He claims the US and Iran have reached an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz and expects a deal on Tehran's nuclear program. Trump also said he canceled the strike on Iran at the request of Qatar, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, as well as the Islamic Republic itself. [in reply to: Trump canceled a major strike on Iran after accepting a compromise proposal on the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has denied reports of resumption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.]
YESnews.ntv.co.jp91%match29¢-100%
Talks with Iran to begin this afternoon… Trump expresses optimism for an agreement, but uncertainty remains.
YESUkrainian Media92%match28¢-100%
Trump announced new talks between the US and Iran US President Donald Trump said that Washington and Tehran will begin a new round of talks on Monday. According to him, the US has decided to abandon new strikes on Iran in order to give a chance to a diplomatic settlement. Against these statements, world oil prices fell sharply: Brent fell by more than 6%, and WTI - by more than 6%. Investors expect that the talks can reduce tensions around the Iranian nuclear program and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
YESAnadolu Agency (AA)92%match31¢-100%
US President Trump stated that negotiations with Iran would resume on Monday and that he was optimistic about reaching an agreement.
YESRussian Media96%match34¢-100%
Donald Trump announced that talks between Washington and Tehran would begin on August 3. "I think there's a deal. There's a deal on the Strait of Hormuz. Then there will be an agreement on the nuclear issue, or, you could say, on the denuclearization of Iran," Mr. Trump told reporters. As Donald Trump recalled, the United States decided not to launch a new attack on Iran at the request of Middle Eastern countries. According to him, Tehran also asked Washington not to launch new strikes. At the same time, Mr. Trump added, the United States is ready to launch an attack "at any time we want." Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
YESalarabiya92%match33¢-100%
Trump: * We will reach an agreement with Iran regarding the Strait of Hormuz and another regarding nuclear disarmament. * We are talking with the Iranians about the format of the negotiations and will begin tomorrow evening. * New talks with Iran will begin Monday after the decision to strike was reversed.
YEStass.ru97%match33¢-100%
Trump said the US and Iran will begin negotiations on August 3.
YESinterfax.com92%match32¢-100%
US and Iran to begin talks on Monday - Trump
YEScontent-static.cctvnews.cctv.com92%match33¢-100%
Trump says the US and Iran will hold talks on the 3rd.
YESiranintlbrk96%match39¢-100%
The next round of US-brokered talks will be held in Rome, the capital of Italy, from August 4-6.
NOalarabiya92%match67¢+49%
The exchange of messages between the United States and Iran continues without agreement on which country would host a potential new round of de-escalation talks.
NOalarabiya92%match67¢+49%
The exchange of messages between the United States and Iran continues without agreement on which country would host a potential new round of de-escalation talks.
NOIranian Journalist93%match67¢+49%
"Esmail Baghaei," spokesman for the Islamic Republic's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, on Monday, August 25, 1405, in his weekly press conference, rejected reports about Iran's request for direct negotiations with the United States, saying: "The request for direct negotiations with the United States is not in line with our genes at all." He emphasized that there are currently no negotiations underway between Tehran and Washington and that news about Iran's request for negotiations is "newsmaking" by the opposing sides. Stateing that the Islamic Republic has never shied away from diplomacy to protect its national interests, Baghaei said that while the United States, according to him, continues to take "harassing and aggressive" actions against Iran, the Islamic Republic's focus is on defense. Read: iranwire.com @VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
NOWalter Bloomberg92%match67¢+49%
IRAN: U.S. WON’T DICTATE WAR OR PEACE • • Iran says it is not holding peace talks with the U.S. and will "never allow" Washington to determine the timing of war or peace. • • Tehran says it will defend its interests as long as necessary and insists the current pause in fighting is not a ceasefire. • • Iran added its ongoing shipping talks with Oman are independent of the U.S. and focused on the Strait of Hormuz.
NOdolfiniran95%match67¢+49%
15:39/ August 25 Negotiations on a ceasefire between Iran and the United States have not taken place, and the current ceasefire situation is very unstable.

Where does the news lean?

46YES31NO12neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

How did this market resolve?

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

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