US-Iran Hormuz AgreementAugust 31
ResolvedOutcome: No$366Kas of
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Two days after the 60-day deadline for an agreement expired, Qalibaf made the opening of the Strait of Hormuz conditional on the fulfillment of five conditions and said Tehran was ready for war. Modern Diplomacy magazine, assessing intelligence data, said the US and Israel are likely to attack Iran two weeks before the elections. Report by Mojtaba Pourmohsen
As the 60-day deadline for the US and the Islamic Republic to reach an agreement expires, Donald Trump said the US is not looking to extend the agreement. Speaking to reporters, the US President reiterated his interest in the idea of declaring the Strait of Hormuz as US territory.
With the 60-day deadline set in the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding for Tehran and Washington to reach a comprehensive agreement ending inconclusively, Donald Trump said that the Islamic Republic wants an agreement, but is not willing to accept the conditions set by the United States. He stressed that Washington has no intention of extending the Memorandum of Understanding. Trump also referred to the Strait of Hormuz and said that the United States could declare this waterway its territory if it wished. Reported by Amir Giti, a correspondent for Iran International.
With the 60-day deadline expiring, the dispute over the Strait of Hormuz is undermining the prospects of the memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran. The Trump administration is shifting its priority from saving the agreement to increasing the cost of rejection for Iran.
US-IRAN DEAL DEADLINE EXPIRES • • The 60-day deadline for a U.S.-Iran agreement has expired without a final deal, leaving both sides divided over the Strait of Hormuz, Iran’s nuclear program and sanctions relief. • • Attention now turns to Iran-Oman negotiations over shipping through Hormuz. • • Iran says a preliminary “transit route map” has been agreed with Oman, but no final agreement has been signed. • • Resolving Hormuz could unlock broader negotiations between Washington and Tehran.
US-Iran negotiations to end fighting reach deadline; "Memorandum of Understanding" becomes meaningless; stalemate over Strait of Hormuz.
The June ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran is set to expire Monday. On Friday, President Trump repeated his claim that Iran will be defeated "very soon" and said he wants the Strait of Hormuz to be a U.S. territory. Iran responded, calling the president's claims "delusions."
Complete stalemate as the memorandum of understanding between Iran and the US expires... and Tehran announces a maritime agreement with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz
US President Donald Trump announced on Friday that he would soon declare the Strait of Hormuz American territory, following what he described as Iran's defeat. He asserted that the United States is imposing a blockade on Iranian ports and that ships will not pass through the strait unless Washington permits them to do so.
Live: Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic drops to six as US-Iran peace deal hopes fade
US markets fall as hopes for reopening Strait of Hormuz fade US stock markets closed lower on Monday. Doubts about a quick agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz increased. At the same time, US crude oil prices rose by about five percent. isna.ir/xdWS7m
@isna94
Oil prices rose by about 5 percent on Monday, August 9, after the issue of compensation payments between Iran and the United States was raised and hopes for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz faded. Iran has said that the United States must lift sanctions imposed on Tehran and accept several other conditions in order to reopen the vital waterway. In contrast, US President Donald Trump said that Iran must pay compensation for “all the people it has killed or seriously injured.” The price of a barrel of Brent crude oil ended at $4.17, or 4.99 percent, at $87.72. US West Texas Intermediate crude oil also closed up $3.95, or 5.05 percent, at $82.13 a barrel. The percentage increase in the price of both oil indices was the highest since August 28. Both oil indices had fallen more than 7 percent last week as hopes grew that Iran and Oman were close to an agreement that could lead to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
@VahidHeadline @VahidOnline
Mohammad Qaidi, a lecturer in international relations, said that the agreement currently being formed is between the Islamic Republic and Oman and is more related to logistical and geographical issues of the Strait of Hormuz, rather than an agreement between Tehran and Washington. He added that there is still no agreement on fundamental issues, including the way the Islamic Republic intends to control the Strait of Hormuz, and there is no clear prospect of resolving these differences in the near future, because the Islamic Republic is trying to manage this situation to the detriment of Donald Trump.
"A temporary agreement has been reached to open the Strait of Hormuz," Trump: "The war will end soon"
The Iranian Foreign Ministry reveals some details of the "Hormuz Agreement": 1. Iran will close the northern and southern maritime routes. 2. A temporary shipping lane will be established in the region for a period of two to four months, during which most maritime traffic will pass through Iranian territorial waters. 3. Negotiations must take place during this period regarding the second phase of the "Hormuz Agreement," which includes discussions on maritime fees. 4. The full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz depends on the United States lifting the naval blockade and energy sanctions, and unfreezing Iranian assets.
babakvahdad: • BREAKING: Iran directly rejects the Axios claim that US-Iran-Oman have a deal to open the Strait of Hormuz today via US announcement, declaring the Strait remains closed and the Iran-Oman agreement "hereby postponed" over US interference, Trump's threats and false characterization, per Sepah News. • • Iran adds Trump "is trying to claim credit for an agreement that is purely with Oman" and that Iran "will not conclude any agreement under the shadow of threats," with Iran state TV adding "Trump is trying to claim credit for something he has no involvement." • • Iran states that "even with an agreement between Iran and Oman, the Strait of Hormuz will not open if the United States continues its violations. The opening of the Strait of Hormuz is contingent upon a change in US behavior and the correction of its violations."
US nears temporary deal with Iran to open Strait of Hormuz — and it doesn’t include tolls: report
Axios: US, Iran, Oman on verge of reaching temporary agreement to reopen Strait of Hormuz, likely to be announced by US today @IRIBNEWS_COM
IRAN CASTS DOUBT ON HORMUZ REOPENING • • Iranian state media pushed back on President Trump's claim that the Strait of Hormuz could reopen soon, saying any Iran-Oman agreement is not linked to an immediate reopening. • • IRIB warned the strait would remain closed if the U.S. continues what Tehran calls violations. • • An Iranian lawmaker also said Hormuz will not return to its pre-war status, stressing talks with Oman are bilateral and unrelated to the United States.
Axios claims: Whittaker calls Araqchi on Hormuz Strait deal | Deal needs approval from Supreme Leader and National Security Council Axios claims about the new deal for the Strait of Hormuz: The deal stipulates that the parties will work to clear the central channel of the strait of naval mines within 30 days. According to a permanent agreement being negotiated between Oman and Iran, the median line of the strait will be used for the entry and exit of ships. Araqchi has announced his initial agreement with the deal, which requires approval from the Supreme Leader and the National Security Council. @IRIBNEWS_COM
Axios: US, Iran, and Oman reach temporary agreement to reopen Strait of Hormuz... to solidify truce and resume nuclear talks
Axios claims: Strait of Hormuz deal to be announced on Wednesday Axios news outlet, citing two regional sources and a US official, claimed that a 60-day interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz will be announced on Wednesday./Journalists' Club
Axios quotes informed sources: The US, Iran and Oman are on the verge of reaching a "temporary agreement" to reopen the Strait of Hormuz Washington is trying to announce this agreement today According to the agreement, all ships will pass through the northern route in Iranian waters The parties will try to clear the "middle passage of the strait" of naval mines within 30 days It has been claimed that no tolls will be collected for 60 days
Axios claims: Strait of Hormuz deal to be announced Wednesday Axios news outlet, citing two regional sources and a US official, claimed that a 60-day interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz will be announced Wednesday. @YjcNewsChannel
FWD from Mehr International: Axios claims: Iran, Oman, US on verge of Hormuz deal Axios, citing an American official, claimed that Iran, the US, and Oman are on the verge of reaching a temporary agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The US plans to announce the agreement on Wednesday. Informed sources also claimed in a conversation with Axios that the agreement will include the establishment of a temporary mechanism between Iran and Oman in the Strait of Hormuz for 60 days, which can be extended. All ships entering the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz must take the northern route and pass through Iranian waters. mehrnews.com/x3cKpp @MehrnewsIntl
The US plans to announce an agreement with Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz today, - Axios According to sources, a temporary agreement for 60 days will be concluded between Iran and Oman, but it will satisfy some of Tehran's demands. The document contains the following points: all inflow of vessels through the strait into the Persian Gulf will be carried out via the northern route through Iranian waters; all outbound traffic through the strait and into the Arabian Sea will be carried out via the southern route through Omani waters in coordination with Iran; during a 60-day period, no tolls or other fees will be charged; the parties undertake to begin demining the maritime mine separation zone of the strait within 30 days; after the separation zone is cleared, it will be used for entry and exit traffic in accordance with the terms of a permanent agreement to be agreed between Oman and Iran. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
Axios: The US, Iran, and Oman are close to reaching a provisional agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz; the US is expected to announce it on the 5th.
The United States, the Islamic Republic of Iran and Oman are close to a temporary agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which Washington plans to announce on Wednesday, Axios reported, citing two regional sources and a US official. According to the report, the 60-day agreement foresees that ships will be allowed to enter Iranian coastal waters and leave Omani waters in coordination with Tehran. No tolls will be collected during this period, and the parties will cooperate to clear naval mines and pave the way for a permanent agreement. Axios added that the agreement would meet some of the Islamic Republic’s demands for greater control over traffic in the strait and could pave the way for a resumption of the ceasefire between Tehran and Washington and nuclear talks. The media outlet also wrote that Qatar, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia have participated in the mediation process, and the White House has also played an active role in the negotiations through calls from Steve Whittaker, Abbas Araqchi, and Badr Al-Busaidy.
“US Close to Hormuz Deal, Aiming to Announce on Wednesday” Axios, Machine Translation:
US President Donald Trump answers reporters’ questions during a cabinet meeting at Camp David last week. (Photo: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
The US, Iran and Oman are close to reaching a tentative agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and the US plans to announce the deal on Wednesday, according to two regional sources and a US official.
Why it matters: The deal, which has been under negotiation for weeks, aims to restore a ceasefire between the US and Iran and restart talks on a nuclear deal. President Trump decided on Saturday to back off on his threat to launch a massive bombing campaign in order to allow more time for diplomacy. However, if a deal is not reached soon, Trump may agree to major strikes. The emerging agreement would grant some of Iran’s demands for greater control over traffic in the Strait of Hormuz; Control that Iran did not have before the war.
Original news: According to two regional sources, the agreement in question creates a temporary 60-day mechanism between Oman and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, which could be extended. All ships entering the Persian Gulf through the strait will pass through a northern route in Iranian waters. All ships leaving the strait and heading to the Arabian Sea will pass through a southern route in Omani waters, with Iran’s coordination. No tolls or fees will be collected during the 60-day period. The parties will try to clear the middle route of the strait of naval mines within 30 days. Once the middle route is cleared, the route will be used for ship traffic in both directions, based on the terms of a permanent mechanism to be negotiated between Oman and Iran.
Yes, But: The White House, Oman and regional mediators thought they had reached a deal with Iran three weeks ago, but Iran resumed attacks on the ships. This led to two weeks of conflict and a situation close to full-scale war.
Behind the scenes: In addition to the talks between Oman and Iran, officials from Qatar, Pakistan and Saudi Arabia were also involved in the mediation efforts, according to regional sources. Regional sources said the White House was actively involved in the talks. There have been several calls in recent days between Trump envoy Steve Whittaker, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, and Omani Foreign Minister Badr al-Busaid. Araqchi agreed to the deal in principle late last week, two regional sources said, but it still needed approval from Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the Supreme National Security Council. A U.S. official and a regional source said Iran’s leadership completed the approval process for the deal on Tuesday.
axios @VahidOnline
Report: US to announce Strait of Hormuz agreement on Wednesday • Axios, citing two regional sources and a US official, reports the US, Iran and Oman are close to a temporary deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with the US planning a Wednesday announcement. The preliminary agreement would satisfy some Iranian demands for traffic-control rights in the strait that Iran did not have before the war. Sources say the arrangement under discussion would be a 60-day temporary mechanism, potentially extendable. (
Axios: The US, Iran, and Oman are close to reaching a temporary agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Washington intends to announce details of an agreement with Iran regarding navigation in the Strait of Hormuz today. #SocialSky #America #Iran
Axios, citing a US official: The United States, Iran, and Oman are close to reaching a temporary agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Axios, citing two regional sources and a US official, said the Islamic Republic, the US and Oman are close to reaching a provisional agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and the US plans to announce the agreement on Wednesday.
Axios: Washington plans to announce details today of an agreement with Iran regarding navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.
U.S. nears Hormuz deal, aiming for Wednesday announcement
The U.S., Iran and Oman are closing in on an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with the U.S. aiming for a Wednesday announcement. My report on @axios •
Live from Al Arabiya | 10 PM News Bulletin: Agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within hours... Al Arabiya reveals, Washington confirms
An agreement to regulate the opening of the Strait of Hormuz is expected within a day or two, and the US clarifies: This is only a temporary arrangement | @nathanguttman reports from Washington #HereNewsEditor with @talberman
Rubio's new statements on the Strait of Hormuz; Agreement not yet finalized US Secretary of State Marco Rubio, referring to the negotiations related to the Strait of Hormuz, announced that no definitive decision has been made yet, but Washington hopes to reach an agreement in the near future. At the same time, Iran has emphasized that the negotiations with Oman are bilateral in nature. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
US Treasury Secretary: We may reach an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz today or tomorrow. #AlArabiya_Business
Where does the news lean?
207YES42NO75neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
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How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met. A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement. Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.
Each announcement must be a declarative statement that clearly and unambiguously communicates acceptance of an agreement. Statements that reference ongoing negotiations or a prospective agreement, or that allude to or express support for an agreement without confirming acceptance of the agreement, do not qualify. A qualifying announcement need not reference the agreement by name or use specific terminology, provided it clearly communicates acceptance of an agreement.
Whether announcements from the listed countries represent a diplomatic agreement and whether such an agreement qualifies will be primarily determined through the announcements themselves. Where an announcement is made by all listed countries but, based on the announcements, it remains ambiguous whether the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the countries, this market will remain open until either i) definitive confirmation that the announcements represent a qualifying diplomatic agreement between the listed entities is achieved through further announcements from the listed countries or a consensus of credible reporting or ii) 14 calendar days (ET) have passed after the date that the last country made their first potentially qualifying announcement. If, at the end of the fourteenth calendar day, no definitive confirmation has been achieved, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
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