U.S. evacuates Beirut EmbassyDecember 31

OpenVol$24KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES5¢
NO95¢

24has of

Where does the news lean?

0YES0NO2neutraltrailing 24h

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

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