US congress stock trading ban before 2027?
Open$20Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES7¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
I don’t trade stocks, and no one else in Congress should either – that’s why I voted to ban it. • • The best investment on Wall Street shouldn’t be a seat in Congress.
Breaking: The House just passed a Congressional Stock Trading Ban • • • 217 Republicans voted in support • • 198 Democrats voted against • • The bill now goes to the Senate
The House of Representatives today advanced legislation that would stop members of Congress from buying individual stocks while in office
House Passes Congressional Stock Trading Ban
The House PASSED legislation to regulate congressional stock trading, 232-198 vote. • • The "Stop Insider Trading Act" is a House Republican-led bill barring members and their families from buying new stocks while in office and requiring seven days' notice before selling.
NEWS: The House passed a bill by a vote of 232-198 that would ban members of Congress from trading individual stocks as well as mandate that voters provide photo identification “as a condition of casting a ballot.” 13 Democrats voted with all Republicans in favor of the bill.
House Approves Bill Limiting Stock Trades for Congress
House Lawmakers Pass Bill Restricting Congressional Stock Trading
House passes bill to limit stock purchases by members of Congress
House votes on long-awaited stock trading ‘ban’ — here’s who the largest traders are
Congressional stock trading curb due to get House vote amid public support for a ban
Congressional stock trading curb due to get House vote amid public support for a ban
House to consider plan to ban Members from trading stocks today
The GOP bill to ban certain stock trading by members of Congress will get a vote next week. • • As we reported last night, it will include language that mandates voter ID for elections. • •
NOAcyn99%match74¢+26%
AOC: This legislation that has been put forward by Republican leadership is not a congressional stock trading ban. It was written by the wealthiest members of Congress for the wealthiest members of Congress.
NOunusual_whales99%match73¢+27%
BREAKING: New stock trading bill for politicians has gained momentum in Congress. The legislation basically stipulates that members of Congress can keep their stocks they have when they come to Congress. If they want to sell, they have to give a seven-day notice to liquidate…
NOAcyn99%match72¢+29%
This is NOT a Congressional stock trading ban. It’s leadership’s attempt to kill the existing bipartisan proposal. Bill is a set of new vehicles and loopholes written by and for the wealthiest members of Congress to evade tracking of their trades. It lets them continue to own,…
YESzerohedge99%match22¢-68%
House Republicans Coalesce Around Stock-Trading Ban For Lawmakers
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match22¢-68%
Odds of a Congress stock trading ban this year rise to 59% on Kalshi [Quoting @Kalshi]
> BREAKING: Bill to "ban" Congress from trading stocks expected to advance this week 59% chance it passes
NOzerohedge99%match78¢+19%
BRYAN STEIL (@RepBryanSteil) has a new leadership-backed stock trading bill. The legislation basically stipulates that members of Congress can keep their stocks they have when they come to Congress. If they want to sell, they have to give a seven-day notice to liquidate their…
Where does the news lean?
28YES7NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 59% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.