Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meetingJuly 10

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$23KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOafp.com98%match100¢
Lebanon to attend Rome talks only if Israel withdraws from 2 'pilot' zones: diplomatic source
NOAsharq Reporter99%match100¢
The Lebanon-Israel meeting in Rome on July 14 & 15 remains pending, as Lebanon insists on starting the implementation of the pilot zones before the meeting takes place.
YESalarabiya98%match1¢-100%
Lebanon and Israel head to Rome to resume ceasefire negotiations
YESalarabiya98%match1¢-100%
Israel: Next round of talks with Lebanon to be held in Rome next week
YESalhadath98%match1¢-100%
Israel: Next round of talks with Lebanon to be held in Rome next week
NOChannel 12 (N12)99%match98¢+2%
Tomer Almagor Israeli Ambassador to the US Yechiel Leiter said at a public conference that the tripartite agreement between Israel, Lebanon and the US overrides the memorandum of understanding between the US and Iran on Lebanon. He added that the next round of negotiations between Israel and Lebanon is expected to take place in Rome on July 14-15, according to quotes from the ambassador published in the US media.
NON13 Reporter99%match96¢+4%
Israeli Ambassador to Washington Yechiel Leiter: The next round of talks between Lebanon and Israel will be held on July 14-15 in Rome.

Where does the news lean?

4YES8NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Related markets

See all outcomes for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.

Other outcomes in this event

Trending now