Trump declassifies new UFO filesMay 31
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$81Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Over the weekend, I went through all the UFO files, or officially known as UAP (Unidentified Anomalous Phenomenon), released to the public by the US Department of War. It's mind-blowing. I recommend that anyone who likes the genre take a look for themselves. The full files are here:
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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See all outcomes for Trump declassifies new UFO files — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.