Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 1, 2026North Carolina

OpenVol$454Deadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 70% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES70¢
NO31¢

24has of

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Carolina has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". North Carolina carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid September 1, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no North Carolina market and make no claim about North Carolina's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final. The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

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