Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 1, 2026Georgia
Open$705as of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Georgia has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Georgia carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 1, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Georgia market and make no claim about Georgia's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
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See all outcomes for Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 1, 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.