Starmer outMay 15
ResolvedOutcome: No$5.7Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The list of Starmer supporting MPs is ticking down rather quickly…
Live: Removing Starmer ‘wrong thing to do’
Exclusive: ‘He’ll be OUT by end of week!’ Keir Starmer is on borrowed time & key rival is waiting in wings to strike fatal blow
Starmer ‘fatally wounded’ but potential challengers face barriers: Political expert
RT @b_judah: Starmer's authority is now crumbling. But even those most committed to a new Prime Minister should pause for thought about wha…
A spate of resignations has followed in Britain amid Starmer's refusal to step down.
Jess Phillips resigns as minister adding pressure on Starmer
NEWSMAKER-Less than two years after landslide, unloved Starmer battles to save his job
U.K. PM Starmer Is in Danger. Why the Timing of His Exit Matters for Markets. -- Barrons.com
Prediction markets give Starmer one-in-three chance of being gone by end of week
Market moved pared slightly after Starmer said he intends to fight on
Britain's Labour Party plans to replace Keir Starmer after losing the election, Bloomberg reports. Among Starmer's potential successors is Andy Burnham, the Mayor of Greater Manchester. Most MPs believe he could lead Labour at the next general election, scheduled for 2029. The prime minister's allies said he would continue his power struggle and turn to markets to "strengthen his position." On May 8, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer's party failed in local elections, raising doubts about the Labour Party's ability to govern. More IZ RU news in MAX
May resignation for Starmer. • • Both his Cabinet and Labour MPs will turn against him after a catastrophic Labour defeat in the May 7 local elections. • • Save this post for a May celebration.
Nigel Farage on Keir Starmer • • “My feeling is he will cling on as Prime Minister - even if he has to sack everyone around him. • • “Until May 7. If you vote Reform you will get rid of Starmer.”
Starmer refuses to quit after ‘unforgivable’ Foreign Office vetting fiasco
Both Labour and Lib Dem voters say Sir Keir Starmer should remain as prime minister - even if they also think he has not been honest about how the decision to appoint Peter Mandelson was made
Where does the news lean?
6YES16NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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See all outcomes for Starmer out — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.