Starmer outMarch 31
ResolvedOutcome: No$878Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Statement between Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Taoiseach Micheál Martin in Cork: 13 March 2026
NOFirst Squawk99%match84¢+19%
UK PM STARMER SAYS I WILL KEEP ON FIGHTING FOR VOTERS, AND FIGHTING AGAINST EXTREMES IN POLITICS ON RIGHT AND LEFT
NOFirst Squawk99%match84¢+19%
UK PM STARMER SAYS BY-ELECTION RESULT IS VERY DISAPPOINTING, I UNDERSTAND VOTERS ARE FRUSTRATED
NOCGTN Europe99%match84¢+19%
UK PM STARMER: I WILL KEEP ON FIGHTING FOR VOTERS, AND FIGHTING AGAINST EXTREMES IN POLITICS ON RIGHT AND LEFT
NOCGTN Europe99%match84¢+19%
UK PM STARMER: BY-ELECTION RESULT IS VERY DISAPPOINTING, I UNDERSTAND VOTERS ARE FRUSTRATED
NOFirst Squawk99%match84¢+19%
Starmer promises increase in UK defence spending-ft
NOVisegrád 2499%match79¢+27%
Starmer: "I will never walk away from the mandate I was given to change this country."
NOFinancialJuice98%match78¢+28%
UK's PM Starmer: I will lead the Labour Party into the next General Election.
NOFinancialJuice98%match78¢+28%
UK's PM Starmer: I will never walk away from the mandate I was given to change this nation.
Where does the news lean?
4YES11NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Starmer out — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.