Starmer outJune 30
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$7.9Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Market moves pared slightly after Starmer said he intends to fight on
Market moved pared slightly after Starmer said he intends to fight on
This Is Why podcast: Why is it so difficult to replace Keir Starmer?
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer says he intends to remain in office for 10 years.
Starmer: I want to be PM for a decade
Louise Haigh, highly influential Labour MP and head of the soft-left Tribune group, calls for Starmer to set out departure timetable. This is quite big
Mandelson’s summary sacking by Starmer ‘will have chilling effect’
Starmer refuses to quit after ‘unforgivable’ Foreign Office vetting fiasco
Both Labour and Lib Dem voters say Sir Keir Starmer should remain as prime minister - even if they also think he has not been honest about how the decision to appoint Peter Mandelson was made
YESBloomberg98%match50¢+100%
The strategy that brought Keir Starmer to Downing Street ran out of road this week. The question now is what takes its place — and whether members of Parliament give the UK prime minister time to see it through.
NOCGTN Europe99%match47¢-100%
UK PM STARMER: I WILL KEEP ON FIGHTING FOR VOTERS, AND FIGHTING AGAINST EXTREMES IN POLITICS ON RIGHT AND LEFT
NOWarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧98%match38¢-100%
Surely Kier Starmer will resign soon…
NOThe Economist99%match74¢-100%
The latest reading from our Starmer tracker
YESBloomberg98%match28¢+257%
Keir Starmer warns Labour that removing him in 2026 would plunge Britain into “utter chaos” and open the door to a far-right government
Where does the news lean?
16YES19NO12neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Starmer out — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.