Starmer outFebruary 28
ResolvedOutcome: No$5.9Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOBloomberg98%match99¢+1%
The strategy that brought Keir Starmer to Downing Street ran out of road this week. The question now is what takes its place — and whether members of Parliament give the UK prime minister time to see it through.
NOBloomberg99%match100¢
Prime Minister Keir Starmer is under pressure to shift to the left after his governing Labour Party was defeated by the Greens in Manchester @lizzzburden explains
NOFirst Squawk99%match99¢+1%
UK PM STARMER SAYS I WILL KEEP ON FIGHTING FOR VOTERS, AND FIGHTING AGAINST EXTREMES IN POLITICS ON RIGHT AND LEFT
NOFirst Squawk99%match99¢+1%
UK PM STARMER SAYS BY-ELECTION RESULT IS VERY DISAPPOINTING, I UNDERSTAND VOTERS ARE FRUSTRATED
NOCGTN Europe99%match99¢+1%
UK PM STARMER: I WILL KEEP ON FIGHTING FOR VOTERS, AND FIGHTING AGAINST EXTREMES IN POLITICS ON RIGHT AND LEFT
NOCGTN Europe99%match99¢+1%
UK PM STARMER: BY-ELECTION RESULT IS VERY DISAPPOINTING, I UNDERSTAND VOTERS ARE FRUSTRATED
NOCNBC99%match100¢
UK PM Keir Starmer suffers blow after his party comes in third in election in former stronghold
NOReuters98%match100¢
Embarrassing defeat for UK's Starmer as Greens seize Labour stronghold
NOReuters98%match99¢+1%
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer takes questions in parliament
NOWarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧98%match98¢+2%
Kier Starmer has clearly misled the Trump administration about the Chagos Deal, what Is the point on having a 100 year lease on the base but not be able to use it for military actions... [Quoting @WarMonitor3]
> The US should seize Diego Garcia before its too late...
NOFirst Squawk99%match97¢+3%
Starmer promises increase in UK defence spending-ft
NOVisegrád 2499%match91¢+10%
Starmer: "I will never walk away from the mandate I was given to change this country."
NOBloomberg98%match82¢+22%
Keir Starmer turned his fortunes around, shoring up his position as UK prime minister on a dramatic Monday that saw him battling for his job. It is only a temporary reprieve
YESWarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧98%match22¢-100%
Surely Kier Starmer will resign soon…
Where does the news lean?
1YES14NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Starmer out — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.