Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of August?$70
Open$131as of
Odds now
The market prices a 98% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES98¢
NO2¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
$SPCX - MORGAN STANLEY: SPACEX LOCK-UP IS A BUYING OPPORTUNITY • • Morgan Stanley reiterated Overweight on $SPCX with a $300 price target and $600 bull case. • • Analyst Adam Jonas argues the market is undervaluing SpaceX’s broader AI platform, including its compute, connectivity and real-time data capabilities. • • Upcoming Grok model releases could help close that valuation gap. • • Jonas views the approaching lock-up expiry as an opportunity, not a risk, offering investors a potential entry point.
$SPCX - SPACEX: MORGAN STANLEY SEES $300 TARGET, $600 BULL CASE • • Morgan Stanley maintains its $300 SpaceX target, with a $600 bull case, following the planned $60B acquisition of AI coding platform Cursor. • • Cursor is used by 64%+ of the Fortune 500 and 50,000 enterprises. • • Morgan Stanley expects Cursor ARR to hit $8B by year-end and ~$33B by 2030. • • Key catalysts include Q3 disclosures, upcoming Grok 4.6/4.7, Grok 5, potential Composer 3, and new ARR updates.
Where does the news lean?
3YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If SpaceX (SPCX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
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