Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of July?$180
ResolvedOutcome: No$2Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
18 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
$SPCX - SPACEX SLUMPS NEARLY 50% FROM JUNE PEAK • • SpaceX fell another 5.5%, leaving the stock 47% below its June 16 high and wiping out more than $1.2 trillion in market value. • • The decline has been driven by AI valuation concerns, geopolitical uncertainty, and heavy short selling. • • Investors are also watching a major August 6 lock-up expiry, which will significantly increase the number of tradable shares.
$SPCX - SPACEX SHARES HIT ALL-TIME LOW, LAST DOWN 3.9% AT $110.6
SpaceX's Stock Has Tumbled Below Its IPO Price. Short Sellers Betting Against It Are Up Billions. • According to data from analytics firm Ortex Technologies, short sellers have continued to increase their bearish wagers against SpaceX even after the stock's steep decline.
SPACEX $SPCX FALLS 4.3% TO $118.17 • • SpaceX shares fell $5.37, or 4.34%, to $118.17 today
SpaceX $SPCX stock is currently trading at $122 per share • • Wall Street has price targets on the stock as high as $800 and as low as $130 • • That means SpaceX stock is currently trading below every Wall ST analyst price target according to the graphic below from my partners at Leverage Shares
Julie Biel: SpaceX Falls for a Sixth Straight Day, Down 45% From Peak • • Julie Biel, Chief Market Strategist at Kayne Anderson Rudnick, said on CNBC's Fast Money that SpaceX still should not be considered cheap even if it falls back near its roughly $135 IPO price. • • She argued that much of the company's original valuation logic was driven by xAI rather than just rockets, Starlink, and Starship, and that a pre-merger sum-of-the-parts value for SpaceX and xAI may have been closer to $900 billion.
SpaceX shares fell more than 3% on Friday, putting the company on track to erase more than $1 trillion in market capitalization from its all-time high. The stock pared its losses after dropping as much as 6.9% to $122.12 per share in early trading, giving the company a market capitalization of $1.61 trillion. The company's market capitalization stood at $2.64 trillion at the close of trading on June 16, its third day of trading. #Arabic_Business
$SPCX - SPACEX PLUNGES FROM PEAK • • SpaceX shares fell 4.6% on Friday, extending a sharp slide that has erased more than $1 trillion in market value since June. The stock is now below its IPO price after a Starship launch was aborted because of an engine issue. Despite the setback, the company recently joined the Nasdaq-100 and analysts still see strong upside. • • If you’d like, I can also make it sound more breaking-news, financial, or social-media style.
SpaceX Stock Drops Below $135 IPO Price: Is It Time to Buy the Dip in July 2026?. • Introduction SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) shares have tumbled below their $135 IPO price set in June 2026, trading near $126–131 as of
NOReuters94%match97¢+3%
Shares of SpaceX End Down 3.1% at $131.11, First Close Below $135 IPO Price
*SPACEX SHARES FALL 3.1% TO CLOSE BELOW IPO PRICE FOR FIRST TIME
Yuval Sade
The stock value of Elon Musk's giant SpaceX is falling on Wall Street, and it is now trading at a price lower than the initial public offering price.
Short selling of SpaceX shares accelerates as the stock price falls to its IPO price Speculators are increasingly betting on a decline in SpaceX shares, pushing short positions to nearly a third of the company's outstanding shares, as the stock price fluctuates around its initial public offering price. According to S3 Partners, the number of SpaceX shares currently shorted is approximately 185 million, representing about 29% of the free float, with a value of $25 billion. These positions have ballooned significantly from around 40 million shares, or roughly 5% to 7% of the free float, just three weeks ago. #Arabic_Business
SPACEX $SPCX SHORT SELLERS REPORTEDLY UP ABOUT $8.7B IN PAPER PROFITS • • Short sellers betting against SpaceX are estimated to be up about $8.7B in paper profits, per Ortex. • • SpaceX has slid below its $135 IPO price since its June 12 Nasdaq debut.
SpaceX shares fell below their IPO price for the first time, dropping as low as $132.15 per share during the session.
On Wednesday, SpaceX shares fell below their IPO price of $135 for the first time, indicating that market enthusiasm for the largest IPO in history is cooling.
SpaceX Stock Plummets Below IPO Price... When Will It Rebound?
Can Flight 13 Stop The Fall In SpaceX Stock?. • SPCX has struggled since its launch on June 12. The share price has dropped approximately 30% from its peak following the debut, finishing at $138 on Monday...
Where does the news lean?
1YES23NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPCX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
finance.yahoo.com
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