SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Open$121Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 36% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES36¢
NO64¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESBenzinga98%match42¢-14%
Elon Musk Says SpaceX Will Launch Starship 'Every Hour' In Three Years.
Where does the news lean?
2YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 66% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.
The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.