SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
Open$21Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
How Hedge Funds Made Billions From Forced Buying of SpaceX Shares By Index Funds. • Hedge funds made billions after index providers changed their rules to fast-track SpaceX so soon after its IPO, triggering $4.3 billion in forced passive buying.
Where does the news lean?
4YES2NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 91%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).