Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
Open$32Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES9¢
NO92¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Prime Minister Takaichi states that the plan to double research funding for universities and other institutions "will directly impact national strength."
Prime Minister Takaichi announces "effectively doubling" research funding, and is considering a new system to support universities.
Prime Minister Takaichi: "We are not yet at the stage where we can ask people to conserve energy" - Response to the situation in Iran discussed in the Diet
LDP parliamentary group supporting Prime Minister Takaichi to launch "National Power Research Group" - Aso, Hagiuda and others to be founders
Today, in order to build momentum for the Yokohama Green Expo, which is less than a year away, we are pleased to welcome Mr. Tsutsui, Chairman of the 2027 International Horticultural Exposition Association, official creator Mika Ninagawa, and representatives from the high schools participating in the "High School Students' Future Blooming Garden Project," who will be creating the theme garden for the "Japan Government Garden," to the Prime Minister's Official Residence.
Prime Minister Takaichi: "An important undertaking that will determine the fate of the nation" - Experts hold first meeting to revise the three security documents, discussing the necessary form of defense capabilities, etc.
Where does the news lean?
3YES15NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sanae Takaichi ceases to be Prime Minister of Japan for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Takaichi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sanae Takaichi and the government of Japan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.