Which CEOs will be out before 2027?Sam Altman - OpenAI

OpenVol$96KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES9¢
NO92¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOCNBC Reporter93%match92¢-1%
Greg Brockman on @SquawkCNBC with @andrewrsorkin earlier, responding to OpenAI C-suite shakeup questions: • • SORKIN: Greg, let me ask you a broader question about what’s happening at OpenAI right now, because there have been a number of departures that have been very visible. Fidji Simo at the top. Your CRO effectively left and then was replaced last week. Brad Lightcap, who had been at the company for a very long time and had been the operating chief for quite a long time, left. The head of ethics, after about a year, left. • • What is happening right now, and what should the public take away from this? • • BROCKMAN: Look, I would say that the number one thing we are doing is really focusing. • • We have a strategy, a mission and a set of priorities that we’re executing on. And throughout this whole year, you’ve seen the impacts of that. We’ve really been trying to figure out: How do we bring together our consumer and enterprise businesses to be really unified? • • You’ve seen that with things like ChatGPT Work. You can see that we’re at this inflection point as a business. • • In July, our revenue grew 20% month over month. Within just the enterprise category, 32% growth there. So you can really see that we are moving to create the best possible models, deliver value for our customers and really try to scale systematically to every— • • SORKIN: But Greg, just so we’re on the same page, because I think people are looking at this and they’re asking questions... The chief revenue officer is obviously a hugely important role. I think people are saying to themselves: You hired somebody for that role. They left, and you replaced them. Was that because they weren’t doing it right and you wanted to replace them? Is that because they didn’t like what was going on and wanted to leave on their own? • People asked the same question about Brad. They asked the same question about Fidji.. Can you speak to this? • • BROCKMAN: Yes. Look, I’d say fundamentally that we are a very resilient organization. • • If you look over the years, there have been different eras where we have had different sets of leaders in place. I’m a constant. Sam is a constant. And I think that we are stronger because of that resilience and diversity. • • My view has always been that I try to work with the best people for that moment, and that we have people who have been here for a very long time, laboring behind the scenes, who don’t make the headlines as much. • • Maybe my core point would be: I actually think the difference between OpenAI and other organizations is that we are so much in the spotlight. Every departure gets scrutinized in a way that it doesn’t otherwise. • I actually don’t think it’s that atypical, how we operate and the longevity of people. • • But I would say that we have an amazing leadership bench. I’m super excited about the team that we’re working with. Just over the past year, I look at the set of leaders that I’ve had the pleasure of really being able to elevate and continue to work with, and will work with for the long term. I feel extremely good about that bench and where we’re going.
NOaxios99%match85¢+7%
Behind the Curtain: Sam Altman is doing something no tech titan has ever done: He's publishing a detailed blueprint for how government should tax, regulate and redistribute the wealth from the very technology he's racing to build and spread.
NOfirstsquawk98%match81¢+12%
OPENAI CEO ALTMAN SHIFTS RESPONSIBILITIES, PREPS NEW 'SPUD' AI MODEL - THE INFORMATION
NOtradfi99%match81¢+12%
*OPENAI CEO SAM ALTMAN HAS RELINQUISHED DIRECT OVERSIGHT OF THE COMPANY’S SAFETY AND SECURITY TEAMS - THE INFORMATION • • *OPENAI CEO SAM ALTMAN WOULD FOCUS ON RAISING CAPITAL, SUPPLY CHAINS, AND “BUILDING DATACENTERS AT UNPRECEDENTED SCALE,” - THE INFORMATION • • *ALTMAN SAID OPENAI HAD COMPLETED THE INITIAL DEVELOPMENT OF ITS NEXT MAJOR AI MODEL, CODENAMED SPUD- THE INFORMATION
NOReuters98%match81¢+12%
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman Would Focus on Raising Capital, Supply Chains, and “Building Datacenters at Unprecedented Scale,” - the Information
NOReuters99%match79¢+15%
Sam Altman on Stepping Down From Helion’s Board: as Helion and OpenAI Start to Explore Working Together, It is Difficult for Me to Be on Both Boards
NObusinessinsider.com99%match86¢+6%
Sam Altman says AI will eventually be sold like electricity and water — by companies like OpenAI
NOCNBC98%match80¢+14%
Sam Altman touts ChatGPT's reaccelerating growth to employees as OpenAI closes in on $100 billion funding
NOFirst Squawk98%match80¢+14%
SAM ALTMAN TOUTS CHATGPT’S REACCELERATING GROWTH TO EMPLOYEES AS OPENAI CLOSES IN ON $100 BLN FUNDING - CNBC
NOBloomberg99%match80¢+14%
In December, OpenAI made headlines when it listed a job for a “head of preparedness” with a base pay range of as much as $555,000 a year. Now, CEO Sam Altman has announced that the role has been filled — by a staffer from rival Anthropic.

Where does the news lean?

10YES22NO14neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

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