Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
Open$63Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOmail.dbnews.com92%match99¢+1%
Secretary of War Pete Hegseth will participate in historic panel tomorrow at U.S. Army’s 2026 Annual Meeting and Exposition
Trump, Hegseth Announce New Maryland Shipyard. • President Donald J. Trump and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth announced the development of a new shipyard, to be called "Arsenal-2," during a ceremony at the future site in Sparrows Point, Maryland.
Hegseth to welcome USS Abraham Lincoln in San Diego after lengthy deployment Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth will travel to San Diego on Tuesday and will welcome the USS Abraham Lincoln crew home on Wednesday after the aircraft carrier extended its deployment to the Middle East. According to the Pentagon, Hegseth will speak with the ship’s crew, participate in physical training and eat lunch with the service members…
Secretary Hegseth welcomed German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius back to the Pentagon yesterday. • • By aligning our Department of War Acquisition Transformation Strategy with German procurement reforms, we are cutting red tape to deliver joint production, secure supply chains, and combat power at SCALE, at SPEED, and at maximum LETHALITY.
Pentagon Press Secretary Kingsley Wilson on Massie’s Hegseth impeachment articles: “Secretary Hegseth has been a transformative leader for the Department of War. Standards and merit are back, our arsenal is stronger than ever before, and morale and recruitment across every service are at all-time highs. Secretary Hegseth has slashed bureaucracy, unleashed innovation, and delivered for our warfighters every step of the way. By every measurable metric, the Department of War is better under President Trump and Secretary Hegseth’s leadership than before. The entire Department is unified behind the Secretary’s vision and will continue working to put our warfighters and America first.”
Where does the news lean?
7YES5NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 91%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.