Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
ResolvedOutcome: No$134Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Hegseth: Department Success Buoyed by Courage, Spirit, Leadership. • The War Department has had a lot of success in the past 19 months, in no small part due to the men and women of the U.S. military, but also because of presidential leadership, Secretary of War Pete Hegseth said during a cabinet meeting at Camp David, Md.
U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth gestures as he testifies during a Senate Appropriations Committee hearing on U.S. President Donald Trump's supplemental funding request for the Department of Defense, in Washington, D.C., U.S., July 21, 2026. REUTERS/Eric Lee
US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth testifies before lawmakers for the first time in over two months. He will focus on requesting additional funding and will face numerous questions regarding the war with #Iran. Here are the details
Where does the news lean?
1YES5NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.