Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?
ResolvedOutcome: No$37Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Secretary of War Hegseth Reaffirms the Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine, Calls on Regional Partners to Take Fight to the Cartels. • Secretary of War Pete Hegseth traveled to Panama this week to lead the second Americas Counter Cartel Coalition Forum in his role as chairman, participate in the Panamax 2026 military exercise in defense of the Panama Canal and host bilateral engagements with key leaders in the Western Hemisphere.
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.