Pete Hegseth impeachedDecember 31, 2026
Open$1Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Pete Hegsett impeachment postponed Mike Johnson has postponed the vote on Pete Hegsett's impeachment until after the midterm elections by adjourning the US House of Representatives for seven weeks. Johnson has stated that the reason for this action is the return of representatives to their constituencies. @IRIBNEWS_COM
House speaker cancels votes as Republican tries to impeach Pete Hegseth
Live: GOP Rep Thomas Massie introduces 8 articles of impeachment against War Secretary Pete Hegseth
Rep. Thomas Massie moves to impeach Pete Hegseth over Iran war, will force House vote on resolution
Massie forcing House to vote on impeachment of Hegseth. will put GOP on record defending Hegseth ahead of midterms
It's Impeachment Week. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., now on the floor introducing articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth
Massie on the floor is introducing articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth.
Where does the news lean?
45YES10NO11neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 79% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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See all outcomes for Pete Hegseth impeached — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.