OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
Closed$760as of
Odds now
Trading is closed. The market last priced a 25% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES25¢
NO76¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
OpenAI reaches $3.2 million settlement with DOJ over claims it discriminated against US workers
Where does the news lean?
0YES2NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges, files a criminal complaint, or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of OpenAI Foundation, OpenAI Group PBC or any parent, subsidiary, or successor of either entity, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
A qualifying charge need not result in a conviction. This market will resolve to "Yes" even if the charge is later dismissed, reduced, or resolved through a deferred prosecution agreement, so long as it was filed or announced by the date specified above. Charges solely against individuals will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.